The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - However, our Fiscal Outlook revenue forecast, shown in Figure  2 , reflects a smaller, temporary upgrade which reverses beginning in 2026 ‑ 27 —resulting in 2026 ‑27 revenues being in line with budget act estimates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - This tax is applied to the amount a person bets. Additionally, the measure authorizes DOSBC to take va rious enforcement actions, including requiring people making such bets to register with DOSBC, requiring entities illegally offering online sports wagering to disclose the names of people who make wagers with them, and blocking access to illegal sites accepting sports wagers.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - This measure amends the Constitution to authorize Native American tribes to offer in-person sports wagering beginning July 1, 2025 under the same conditions described above for on line sports wagering.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At minimum, state and/or local costs would likely increase to regulate sports wagering. At the same time, state and/or local revenues could increase due to required fees (such as regulatory fees), payments (such as a share of sports wagering revenues), or tax revenues from economic activity associated with sports wagering.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - For those under the state law framework, the measure authorizes CGCC to develop and implement various regulations —such as the types of bets that can be offered, licensing requirements, and consumer protection requirements.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - In particular, given evidence supporting the effectiveness of the credits, it likely makes sense to align the structure of the grant program as closely as possible with the credit program. The grant program has most clearly deviated from the credit program on one dimension: the number and size of the awards.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California gaming activities. [Ballot]

Oct 1, 2021 - The net impact of the above factors on the state and local governments is unknown, but would likely not be significant. However, certain local jurisdictions could experien ce larger impacts if their local economies are significantly affected by gaming activity.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-009

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - That said, recent budgets have set the SFEU bet ween $3.5  billion and $4.5  billion, so the Governor ’s budget proposal to set the balance to $4.5  billion is generally in line with recent policy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101