May 2024

Proposition 98 Overview

Proposition 98 Key Inputs and Outcomes Under May Revision

Dollars in Millions

  2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Minimum Guarantee      
General Fund $67,753 $71,500 $76,606a
Local property tax 29,774 31,072 32,524
   Totals $97,527 $102,572 $109,129
Change From Prior Year      
General Fund -$16,001 $3,747 $5,106
   Percent change -19.1% 5.5% 7.1%
Local property tax $2,973 $1,298 $1,452
   Percent change 11.1% 4.4% 4.7%
Total guarantee -$13,027 $5,045 $6,558
   Percent change -11.8% 5.2% 6.4%
Inputs      
General Fund Tax Revenueb $176,979 $185,454 $195,020
K-12 average daily attendance 5,405,197 5,468,503  5,508,796
Growth Rates      
K-12 average daily attendance 1.0% 1.2% 0.7%
Per capita personal income (Test 2) 7.6% 4.4% 3.6%
Per capita General Fund (Test 3)c -18.7% 5.4% 5.5%
Proposition 98 Reserve      
Deposit (+) or withdrawal (‑)d $272 -$5,823 -$2,590
Cumulative balance 8,413 2,590 0
Operative Test 1 1 1
       
a Includes adjustment for arts education funding as required by Proposition 28 (2022).
b Excludes nontax revenues and transfers, which do not affect the calculation of the guarantee.
c As set forth in the State Constitution, reflects change in per capita General Fund plus 0.5 percent.
d Accounts for required and discretionary changes to the Proposition 98 Reserve.
Note: No maintenance factor is created or paid over the period.