May 2024

Proposition 98 Overview

Comparing LAO and May Revision Estimates of the Proposition 98 Guarantee

Dollars in Millions

  2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28
May Revision          
General Fund $71,500a $76,606 $81,479 $85,894 $90,146
Local property tax 31,072 32,524 33,987 35,551 37,237
   Totals $102,572 $109,129 $115,466 $121,444 $127,383
LAO May Outlook          
General Fund $70,089a $74,671 $79,561 $84,280 $88,622
Local property tax 31,389 32,670 34,251 36,021 37,905
   Totals $101,478 $107,341 $113,811 $120,301 $126,527
Difference (LAO May Minus May Revision)      
General Fund -$1,411 -$1,935 -$1,919 -$1,614 -$1,524
Local property tax 318 147 264 470 668
   Totals -$1,093 -$1,789 -$1,655 -$1,143 -$856
           
a Excludes supplemental payment attributable to Proposition 28 (2022). In subsequent years, this adjustment is incorporated into the minimum guarantee.