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Temporary changes to net operating loss (NOL) deductions in recent budget packages provide a timely reason to examine the rationale for these deductions and the implications of repeatedly suspending their use. This issue extends well beyond the present budget cycle because NOL rules help determine how California measures business income across time and treats firms with differently timed profits and losses, which ultimately impacts how much revenue the corporate income tax generates. California’s current suspension prohibits larger businesses from using accumulated net operating losses, or NOLs, to reduce their taxable income. The state simultaneously limits the amount of business tax credits that many taxpayers may claim. Grouping these provisions together is understandable from a budget perspective: both restrictions increase near-term state revenue by delaying the use of accumulated tax attributes. But the two provisions serve different purposes. Many business credits are policy subsidies delivered through the tax system, while NOL rules are part of the underlying structure used to measure net income across years.

Overview of NOL Deductions

Annual Tax Accounting Is an Administrative Convention. The tax year is necessary for reporting and collection, but it is not a natural unit of economic activity. Governments need businesses to report and pay taxes regularly rather than waiting until a company closes to calculate its lifetime profit. But a twelve-month reporting period can divide related costs and revenues into separate tax years. A cost incurred in December may help produce revenue in January, and investments made over several years may not generate returns until much later. Business cycles, product-development timelines, construction projects, and economic downturns rarely align neatly with the end of a tax year. Absent a corrective mechanism, this can lead to corporate taxpayers with similar cumulative profits being taxed differently. Consider two companies over a three-year period. The first earns $5 million in each year, for a total profit of $15 million. The second loses $5 million in each of the first two years and then earns $25 million in the third, also producing a cumulative profit of $15 million. If each year is treated in isolation, the first company is taxed on $15 million while the second is taxed on $25 million, despite the companies having equivalent net profits over the three-year period.

NOL Carryforwards Reconnect Loss and Profit Years. California, like the federal government and many states, allows businesses whose deductions exceed their revenues in a given year to carry the resulting NOL forward and apply it against future taxable income. Under California’s general corporate rules, most NOLs may be carried forward for up to 20 years. This allows losses in one annual reporting period to be recognized when the business earns income in a later period.

NOLs Can Arise Cyclically or Sequentially. The familiar case for NOLs involves mature businesses whose earnings fluctuate because their industries are volatile, project-based, or sensitive to the business cycle. Examples of such industries that are prominent in California include technology, entertainment, tourism, and real estate. A different pattern is sequential rather than cyclical. For example, a tech company may spend heavily to build infrastructure, acquire users, or reach scale, incurring significant losses before generating sustained profits. In these cases, early losses are not merely “bad years” in an otherwise steady business. They may be part of the cost of producing later profits.

Loss-First Businesses Raise a Distinct Issue. Allowing early losses to offset later income helps match the tax treatment of costs and revenues over the full life of an investment. For loss-first businesses, the relevant period is not simply a single profitable or unprofitable year, but the longer development period over which costs are incurred and returns are eventually generated. At the same time, accumulated NOLs can make a newly profitable company appear to pay little tax precisely when its profits become most visible. From the perspective of the firm and its investors, the tax system is still recognizing losses from the build-out period. From the perspective of policymakers looking only at the profitable year, the result may look like a profitable company is paying little to no corporate income tax.

California Has Many Back-Loaded and Volatile Businesses. California has many businesses whose costs and revenues may be separated by years, including early-stage technology and life-sciences firms, advanced manufacturing companies, entertainment businesses, agricultural producers, and project-based firms. NOL deductions reduce the extent to which such businesses are penalized merely because their costs and revenues occur in different tax years. A currently profitable business may be deducting losses incurred during an earlier development period or economic downturn. As such, evaluating the state’s NOL policy requires looking across several years, rather than any particular tax year in which a NOL is claimed.

NOLs Reduce Bias Against Risky and Back-Loaded Investment. More equal treatment across years matters for more than fairness among taxpayers. Without NOL deductions, businesses with volatile or back-loaded profits would face higher cumulative tax burdens than businesses earning the same total profit more steadily. This could favor established activities with predictable and immediate returns over investments involving substantial upfront costs, longer development periods, or uncertain outcomes—including many innovative activities. NOL treatment reduces this distortion by allowing investment decisions to depend more on their expected long-term returns and less on whether costs and revenues fall in the same tax year. In this sense, NOLs are not an incentive for innovation or risk-taking so much as a way to avoid placing those activities at an artificial tax disadvantage.

California’s Rules Are Less Than Fully Symmetric. A perfectly symmetric tax might provide an immediate refund for a loss or at least allow a business to carry the loss back against taxes paid in prior profitable years. California instead generally requires businesses to wait until they generate future income. Corporations also remain subject to California’s minimum franchise tax even when they report losses. As a result, a dollar of loss is not treated as the mirror image of a dollar of profit: tax on the profit is generally due immediately, while the value of the loss is delayed and may never be fully realized.

Carryforwards Depend on Eventual Profitability, Not Entry. NOL carryforwards may be valuable to startups and other loss-first businesses, but they provide no upfront benefit when a business enters the market. Their value generally depends on the business, or in some cases an acquiring successor, later generating taxable income. A new firm that fails before generating taxable income receives little or no value from its accumulated losses, although an acquisition can sometimes preserve part of that value. Tax rules limit the use of NOLs following significant ownership changes, however, so losses cannot simply be transferred without restriction to any profitable purchaser. Carryforward treatment is therefore better understood as deferred recognition of losses contingent on future taxable income than as an upfront incentive for new business formation.

Suspension of NOL Usage

Suspensions Can Serve Important Near-Term Budget Objectives. The Legislature does not consider NOL policy solely through the lens of income measurement or economic efficiency. California has generally used NOL suspensions as a budget-balancing tool during periods of fiscal stress. Temporarily limiting NOL deductions can generate substantial near-term revenue without increasing the statutory corporate tax rate. A broad suspension may also be relatively straightforward to enact compared with redesigning the underlying tax rules. These benefits help explain why California has repeatedly used suspensions, even though doing so delays recognition of prior losses and may shift revenue costs into future years.

Suspensions Reduce the Value of Losses. Those near-term fiscal benefits come with costs for affected taxpayers. California’s current suspension generally prevents corporate taxpayers with at least $1 million of income subject to California tax from using NOL deductions during the suspension period. Affected taxpayers may continue generating NOLs and carrying them forward, and California extends the period during which those losses may be used. Nevertheless, delayed use has an economic cost. The taxpayer loses the time value of the deduction and bears the risk that it may never generate sufficient future California income to use the loss fully.

Repeated Suspensions Undermine Consistent Treatment Over Time. In the 20-year period spanning 2007-2026, NOL suspensions have been in effect for 9 years cumulatively, nearly half of that period. The central concern is not simply that taxpayers may have difficulty predicting when another suspension will occur. NOL carryforwards are intended to provide consistent treatment of a business’s profits and losses across years, but repeated suspensions make the timing of NOL deductions contingent on the state’s near-term fiscal condition. Under ordinary rules, a prior loss may offset future income, but during a suspension that deduction is temporarily deferred when the state faces a budget shortfall. This inconsistent application also creates uncertainty for taxpayers and makes the deduction appear less like a stable structural rule and more like a budget-contingent benefit. Along with the weakening of horizontal equity among taxpayers, this uncertainty is a reason to be cautious about using repeated NOL suspensions as a budget solution.

Other NOL Considerations

Tax Losses Do Not Necessarily Equal Ordinary Business Losses. Taxable income is determined under legal and accounting rules and therefore need not correspond exactly to a business’s economic profit in a particular year. A tax loss may reflect revenues falling short of ordinary business costs. It may also reflect differences in when tax law recognizes otherwise legitimate income or expenses, including depreciation, financing costs, and other timing rules. In addition, some deductions reflect explicit policy choices intended to favor particular investments or activities. These categories can all contribute to an NOL even though they have different relationships to the business’s underlying economic position.

NOLs Carry the Tax Rules That Produced Them. An NOL can be understood as a kind of “warehouse” for all components of the original tax loss. Once the rules for deductions and income recognition produce negative taxable income, the resulting NOL generally carries that amount into future years without identifying how much arose from current operating losses, timing differences, explicit tax preferences, or tax-planning decisions. The NOL mechanism ordinarily does not determine whether those underlying rules or transactions are appropriate; it preserves their combined effect for possible use against future income.

Some Losses Reflect Tax-Planning Choices. Taxpayers can influence the timing, location, and legal form of income and deductions through financing arrangements, related-party payments, entity structure, and other transactions. Such planning is not necessarily improper. Greater concern may arise, however, when a transaction shifts income or deductions without a comparable change in economic activity, relies on non-arm’s-length terms, or otherwise produces a tax loss that is disputed or substantially disconnected from an economic loss. For example, a corporation might deduct interest paid to an affiliated company while the affiliate reports the corresponding income in another jurisdiction. If the amount or terms of the payment do not reflect the underlying financing activity, the transaction could increase a California tax loss without producing a comparable economic loss for the corporate group as a whole. In these cases, the policy concern originates primarily with the underlying tax rule or transaction rather than with the later use of the resulting NOL.

Concerns About Tax Rules Should Be Addressed at Their Source. If a tax loss is increased by a tax preference or a transaction whose tax treatment is disputed, a NOL can preserve that effect and allow it to offset future income. In some cases, the resulting tax loss may not reflect a comparable decline in the business’s overall economic position. If that loss becomes an NOL, the carryforward preserves the resulting tax treatment but does not itself create the underlying concern. Where policymakers are concerned about a particular type of deduction or transaction, a more targeted response would generally examine the underlying rule or activity rather than treating all NOLs alike. In California, one example involves payments between corporations included in the state’s Water’s Edge combined report and affiliated foreign corporations excluded from that report. Because the excluded affiliate is outside the California income pool, such transactions can raise questions about whether the resulting California tax loss reflects the affiliates’ underlying economic activity or instead results from how income and deductions are allocated between included and excluded entities.

Carryforward-Only Treatment Reduces Some Paper-Loss Concerns. If a tax-planning transaction generates a loss that can be carried back, the taxpayer may receive an immediate refund of taxes paid in prior years. California’s approach of requiring losses to be carried forward reduces that immediate payoff because the taxpayer must eventually have taxable income to use the loss. This does not eliminate concerns about losses that are disputed or disconnected from underlying economic activity. It instead changes the payoff from an immediate refund to a future offset against taxable income.

Credits Occupy a Separate Warehouse but Can Stack with NOLs. NOLs reduce taxable income before tax is calculated. Business credits reduce the tax liability calculated on the remaining income. A credit generally does not become part of an NOL; where carryforward is permitted, unused credits instead remain separate tax attributes that may be used in future years. A company that spends several years in a loss position may consequently accumulate both NOLs and unused credits. Once it becomes profitable, the NOL may reduce its taxable income, and the credits may reduce the remaining tax. The interaction of these separate tax attributes can make a currently profitable business appear to pay surprisingly little tax. That result may reflect years of prior operating losses, policy choices embodied in business credits, tax-planning decisions, or some combination of the three. Evaluating the taxpayer’s current payment requires examining when and how both sets of attributes were generated rather than looking only at the profitable year in which they are claimed.

NOL Treatment Is Tax Rule Design, Not a Conventional Tax Expenditure. NOL deductions are sometimes grouped with business tax credits because limiting either can increase near-term state revenue. Despite similar budget effects, these two sets of provisions are distinct from a policy perspective. A conventional tax expenditure generally provides targeted favorable treatment relative to a baseline tax structure, such as a credit for a selected activity. In concept, NOL treatment is not primarily a special tax benefit for businesses; it is a mechanism for applying an annual income tax to business income and losses that arise over multiple years. The fact that some businesses benefit from NOL treatment does not by itself make that treatment a tax expenditure. At the same time, treating NOL rules as part of the baseline tax structure does not mean every feature of those rules is beyond reconsideration. Policymakers can still evaluate whether California’s approach appropriately measures income across years while addressing concerns about how particular tax losses are generated and used.

 



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