Volatility of the Personal Income Tax Base

Feb 8, 2017 - California’s PIT Tax Base The tax base used by California for its personal income tax is similar to the federal government ’s, but is set in state law. Figure  2 summarizes the major components of the state ’s PIT tax base as reported on federal and state tax forms.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3548

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - Recently, corporation tax collections have grown faster than anticipated while personal income tax collections have grown somewhat slower. The administration assumes that this pattern will continue. This is because they attribute the pattern to partnerships, which are taxed under the personal income tax, changing to corporations in response to 2017 federal tax changes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

The 2017-18 Budget: Trial Courts and the County Office of Education General Fund Offset

Feb 16, 2017 - Governor ’s Budget Underestimates Excess Property Tax Revenue. The Governor ’s budget estimates that excess property tax revenue in 2017-18 will not increase over the 2016-17 level of $37 million. Our analysis of property tax growth, however, projects higher excess property tax levels and, in turn, higher General Fund offsets for trial courts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3567

California Community Colleges—Managing Cash in a Time of State Payment Deferrals

Dec 18, 2020 - At the other end of the spectrum, nine districts received 85  p ercent or more of their apportionment funding from local property tax revenue. (In 2019 ‑20, seven of these nine districts were “excess tax ” districts, meaning their local property tax revenue exceeded the entire amount they were entitled to receive under the main community college funding formula.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4307

Emergency shutdown orders. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - This, in turn, could increase state and local emergencies-related costs and harm business activity, which could reduce state and local tax revenues relative to what otherwise would be the case. Summary of Fiscal Effects.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-018

California's Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) Expansion [EconTax Blog]

Jul 13, 2017 - Expanded Earned Income Tax Credit. This legislation expands the state EITC to families with self-employment income and to include tax filers with incomes up to $22,300. This will increase significantly the number of filers eligible to claim the tax credit.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/249

The Definition of Qualified Capital Outlay for the State Appropriations Limit

Feb 18, 2022 - Appropriations subject to the limit are calculated by taking proceeds of taxes and reducing them by excluded spending. Statutory Definition of Qualified Capital Outlay. One important SAL exclusion is qualified capital outlay.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4547

Federal Spending in California

Jan 18, 2017 - To do this, the Tax Foundation increases its estimate of tax revenues from each state in proportion to the total federal deficit. In effect, this inflates the estimated amount Californians “pay” in taxes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3531/2

The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Proposals

Apr 26, 2021 - Under Proposition  2, the state must continue to deposit funds into the BSA until it reaches a threshold balance of 10  percent of General Fund tax revenue. Once the BSA reaches this threshold, required deposits that would bring the fund above 10  percent of General Fund taxes instead must be spent on infrastructure.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4418

Amend the Constitution to allow and facilitate future, but unknown, legislative actions that could substantially increase state healthcare spending and associated tax revenues. [Ballot]

Oct 9, 2017 - The above constitutional changes would allow and facilitate potentially large increases in new tax revenues dedicated to healthcare spending. Potential Redirection of Existing Tax Revenues. In addition to new taxes, the measure ’s provisions would apply to the redirection of existing state tax revenues to the HCTF.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2017-019