The 2020-21 Budget: California's Spring Fiscal Outlook

May 8, 2020 - This occurs despite the fact that the U ‑shaped recession assumes the economy begins to recover this summer and the L ‑shaped recession assumes the economy begins recovering later in 2021. The state would face annual deficits of about $ 20  b illion in the somewhat optimistic U ‑shaped recession scenario through 2023 ‑24 (the last year of our projections).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4228

The 2020-21 Budget: U-Visa I-918 Form Mandate

Mar 4, 2020 - Below, we discuss the U-Visa I-918 Form mandate, which is one of two newly identified state mandates in the 2020-21 bu dget. Background U-Visa. Victims of crime without legal status in the U.S. who cooperate with the investigation of the crimes against them and meet certain other requirements are eligible to apply for a U-Visa.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4192

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - Further, the difference between the CNI and the CA CPI ‑U and CA CPI ‑W is often large. Figure  2 shows differences between the proposed measures in each year since 1978. In about half of years, the CNI differed from the CA CPI ‑U and the CA CPI ‑W by at least 1  percentage point.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

^[PDF] An Analysis of Findings From the San Diego Job Search and Work Experience Demonstration Program

The assumption that AFDC-FG families would face higher marginal tax rates than AFDC-U families conflicts with MDRC data showing that AFDC-U families earn 55 percent more income than AFDC-FG families.
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/1985/471_0585_an_analysis_of_findings_from_san_diego_job_search_and_work_experience_and_demonstration_program.pdf

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - Civil penalties on covered co mpanies may be assessed as a percentage of annual gross revenue, beginning at 5 percent for initial violations and increasing to as much as 100 percent for violations that remain u ncured over specified time periods.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

^[PDF] An LAO Major Features of the 2000 California Budget

The major support expendi- tures are as follows: u $1.2 billion for design, engineering, and environmental review of highway projects. This amount includes (1) $1 billion to continue capital outlay support work to carry out the STIP and the State Highways Operation and Protection Program (SHOPP), and (2) $120 million for staff support to work on projects included in the Traffic
https://lao.ca.gov/2000/070300_budget_maj_features.pdf

^[PDF] The 2020-21 Budget: California’s Spring Fiscal Outlook

Budget Problem of $18.1 Billion Under U-Shaped Recession. Figure 3 (see next page) shows our estimate of the General Fund condition under the somewhat optimistic U-shaped recession scenario described earlier.
https://lao.ca.gov/reports/2020/4228/spring-outlook-2020.pdf

How Does the October Inflation Report Change Our Outlook? [EconTax Blog]

Nov 16, 2022 - The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased at an annual rate of 5.3 percent in October, compared to 7.7 percent over the last year. Similarly, “core” inflation (CPI-U excluding food and energy prices) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent in October, compared to 6.3 percent over the last year.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/760

Background Information on AFDC, SSI/SSP, and Medi-Cal Programs and Proposition 99

AFDC-Unemployed Parent (AFDC-U): Families financially needy due to unemployment of one or both parents. Services: AFDC-FG &U grants vary with family size and by region. Maximum monthly grant, family of three (1995-96): Current payment: $607, in all counties ($594 effective 5/1/96). 1995-96 Budget Act: $565 in high-cost counties, $538 in low-cost counties.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/pre_1999/ho3189601.html

^[PDF] California Defense of Marriage Convention Call

Major Provisions of the Initiative At the beginning of every legislative session, this measure requires the Legislature to consider a request to Congress for a U. S. constitutional convention. The measure requires the Legislature to consider such a request each session until the U.
https://lao.ca.gov/ballot/2004/040250.pdf