California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2012-13 Budget: Economic and Revenue Update [Publication Details]

Feb 27, 2012 - Like the economic data, reports concerning state revenues have been mixed recently too, with weakness in income tax payments accompanied by speculation concerning a future bonanza of tax revenues due to the possible offering of stock by Facebook, Inc.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/2578

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - Under state law, the administration can transfer funds to the Medical Provider Interim Payment (MPIP) Fund to help cover an appropriation deficiency in Medi ‑Cal. These transfers are capped as a percent of Medi ‑Cal ’s appropriation.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - Instead, using one-time resources to improve budget resilience would help the state meet its coming fiscal challenges. Figure 1 The State ’s New Wall of Debt (In Billions)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

California's Legislative Analyst's Office and the Value of Independence

Nov 15, 2024 - As such, our independent fiscal assessment underlies the Legislature ’s ability to assert an informed check on the executive branch, making any added complexity from diverging estimates a worthwhile trade-off.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4938

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - This  is not a prediction of what will happen —state and federal laws and policies will change in the coming years —but rather serves as a baseline to help the Legislature understand its starting place.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Outside of government and health care, the state has added no jobs in a year and a half. Similarly, the number of Californians who are unemployed is 25  percent higher than during the strong labor markets of 2019 and 2022.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - A  significant share of these spending solutions are ongoing and grow to $17.5  billion by the last year of the administration ’s forecast —helping to address, but not fully solve, the state ’s persistent multiyear deficits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 19, 2025 - Each year, our office publishes the Fiscal Outlook in anticipation of the upcoming budget season. This report gives the Legislature our independent estimates and analysis of the state’s General Fund budget condition with the goal of helping lawmakers prepare for the 2026-27 budget process.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: Undertaking Fiscal Oversight

Feb 24, 2025 - However, proactive efforts to help improve the amount of information that is available could help the Legislature gain sufficient insight so as to determine which programs to prioritize over others. Are Programs Providing Expected Benefits?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4983