MOU Fiscal Analysis: Bargaining Unit 16 (Physicians, Dentists, and Podiatrists)

Jul 14, 2025 - The state and Unit 16 agreed to this prefunding arrangement in 2017 , with the fund expected to be fully funded for Unit 16 within 30 years. In 2025-26, the state and employees represented by Unit 16 each contribute 1.4 percent of pay to prefund the benefit for Unit 16 members.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5064

The 2020-21 Budget: Fresno Integrated K-16 Education Collaborative

Mar 11, 2020 - The 2020-21 Budget: Fresno Integrated K-16 Education Collaborative Fresno Integrated K-16 Education Collaborative Introduction In this post, we analyze the Governor ’s proposal to establish the Fresno Integrated K-16 Education Collaborative (the Collaborative).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4199

May Revision: Earned Income Tax Credit Proposal [EconTax Blog]

May 17, 2015 - In many years, therefore, the EITC could reduce Proposition 98 funding for schools and community colleges to some extent. 2015-16, however, may not be such a year. Under the May Revision revenue and budget estimates, it appears that certain features of the Proposition 98 calculations cause the reduced EITC revenue to have no effect on the school funding guarantee in 2015-16.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/107

May Revision: Proposition 30 Estimates, Accrual Uncertainties [EconTax Blog]

May 17, 2015 - We discuss the May Revision estimates for Proposition 30 revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/106

May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook [EconTax Blog]

May 15, 2015 - Our office's May Revision economic outlook, responding to the administration's economic projections, notes that California's growth recently has outpaced the nation's.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/104

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

May Revision: LAO Revenue Outlook [EconTax Blog]

May 16, 2015 - Compared to the size of the California economy (measured by total personal income in the state), capital gains were more significant during the dot-com boom and the mid-2000s. Various data seem consistent with our office 's 2014 and 2015 capital gains assumptions.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/105

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 18, 2026 - Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $16 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the fourth quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $16 million . So far, most of the changes in quarterly revenues appear to be seasonal, without much year-over-year growth.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/849

Firearms and Ammunition Revenue Update (2025 Q4) [EconTax Blog]

Feb 18, 2026 - Preliminary Total for Fourth Quarter of 2025: $16 Million. For firearm and ammunition excise tax returns filed for the fourth quarter of 2025, the total amount of tax due is $16 million . So far, most of the changes in quarterly revenues appear to be seasonal, without much year-over-year growth.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/849