The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook

Nov 17, 2021 - Operating Surplus of $5 Billion in 2022 ‑23. In addition to the factors described above, which are revisions to the 2021 ‑22 Budget Act , our outlook anticipates the state will have an additional $5.2 billion operating surplus in 2022 ‑23.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4472

The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 17, 2021 - The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details] The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook Format: HTML Description: Our annual Fiscal Outlook publication gives our office’s independent assessment of the California state budget condition for the upcoming fiscal year and over the longer term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4472

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure  2, at the end of this post, lists the major economic variables under our new moderate growth scenario through 2022. As we discussed in November, accurately predicting the future path of the economy is not possible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video]

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video] Search LAO Videos The 2022-23 Budget: California 's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability November 17, 2021 Legislative Analyst Gabriel Petek hosts a video call with members of the press after the release of the LAO 's report The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=116

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Assessment

Feb 15, 2023 - Three of those —the recession in the early 1990s, the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s, and the Great Recession —resulted in large revenue shortfalls and ensuing multiyear deficits, even for some years after each recession ended.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4687

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2019-20 Budget: California Spending Plan—Debt Liabilities

Oct 17, 2019 - Special Fund Loans Throughout the 2000s, particularly in response to the dot-com bust and Great Recession, the state loaned amounts to the General Fund from other state accounts, particularly special funds to address General Fund budget problems.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4106

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - For context, the comparable revisions in the prior two budget cycles were $2  billion (2023 ‑24) and $2.7  billion (2022 ‑23). The increase is primarily driven by higher costs in the Medi ‑Cal program, which are projected to exceed January estimates by $10  billion over the three ‑year budget window: roughly $2  billion in 2024 ‑25 and $8  billion in 2025 ‑26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044