California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

Cap-and-Trade Extension: Issues for Legislative Oversight

Dec 12, 2017 - Setting Post‑2020 Caps and Banking Rules to Ensure State Meets Its GHG Targets Current Program Allows Banking. Under the current program, there is no expiration date for allowances. An allowance issued today can be purchased today and used to cover emissions in a future year —a design feature commonly known as banking.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3719

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2021-22 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 27, 2021 - Human Services: Discretionary Spending Proposals in the 2021 ‑22 Budget Package General Fund (In Millions) Expand APS to older adults aged 60 and over and enhance services — Fund county costs associated with CalFresh simplifcations — Augment CFAP monthly benefits to their maximum per household size $24 Expand CFAP benefits to some previously ineligible immigrants — Augment CFAP benefits by 15
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4448/1

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 16, 2023 - CalFire = California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection; CARB = California Air Resources Board; FARMER = Funding Agricultural Replacement Measures for Emission Reductions; CEC = California Energy Commission; Go ‑Biz = Governor ’s Office of Business and Economic Development; DOC = Department of Conservation; DTSC = Department of Toxic Substances Control; DWR = Department of Water
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4788/4

The 2023-24 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Nov 8, 2023 - Chapter 53 of 2023 (SB 124, Committee on Budget and Fiscal Review) Green Bank Financing. Authorizes I ‑Bank to spend future federal funding that the state might receive through the Climate Catalyst Revolving Loan Fund program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4814

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - Figure 16 Major Human Services Programs and Departments —Spending Trends General Fund (Dollars in Millions) 2017 ‑18 Change From 2017 ‑18 to 2018 ‑19 Amount Department of Child Support Services 315.6 All other social services (including state support) 525.6 Major Actions —Human Services Programs 2018 ‑19 General Fund Effect (In Millions) Program Creates new Safety Net Reserve and makes initial
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870/7