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The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - As shown in Figure  1 , many signs of an overly exuberant stock market are present today: measures of whether stocks are “expensive ” are at historically high levels, investors are borrowing more to buy stocks, and households are more invested in the stock market than they have been in at least 70  years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This dynamic may be especially notable today. The current run-up in stock prices is similarly concentrated in Silicon Valley technology companies, raising the risk of an outsized revenue loss if that market corrects sharply.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

Los Angeles' Bid for the 2024 Olympics and Paralympics

Nov 10, 2016 - A 2015 study of the economics of the Olympics and soccer ’s World Cup described several reasons for cost overruns at such events, including the following: The pressure to “low ball the cost estimates with a bare –bones plan ” in order to convince the public and leaders to support a city bid effort.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3506

A Review of the CalSTRS Funding Plan: Theoretical Investment Gains Have Shifted Unfunded Liabilities to Districts

Feb 2, 2016 - As described in our second post , the state’s share of CalSTRS’ unfunded liabilities is based on an estimate of what CalSTRS’ funding shortfall would be today if the state made different decisions about teacher pensions in the past.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3334

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - Creates Division of Online Sports Betting Control (DOSBC). This measure creates DOSBC within DOJ, which would have the exclusive authority to regulate online sports wagering as well as to investigate illegal wagering activities (such as “match-fixing ”).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

The 2021-22 Budget: School Mental Health

Feb 12, 2021 - As a result, existing partnerships are better positioned to apply for the matching funds. Number of Projects Likely to Receive Matching Funds Is Uncertain. Because the proposal requires CDE to match eligible projects dollar for dollar, a handful of large counties with high ‑cost projects could receive the matching grants and entirely exhaust all available funding.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4368

[PDF] Proposition 27: Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Outside Tribal Lands. Initiative Constitutional Amendment and Statute.

The increase would depend mostly on how sports betting is regulated—such as the number of sports betting licenses approved, the type and number of betting options and events offered, and how much state enforcement is done.
https://lao.ca.gov/handouts/crimjust/2022/Prop-27-081022.pdf

[PDF] Online sports wagering.

Creates Division of Online Sports Betting Control (DOSBC). This measure creates DOSBC within DOJ, which would have the exclusive authority to regulate online sports wagering as well as to investigate illegal wagering activities (such as “match-fixing”).
https://lao.ca.gov/ballot/2021/210494.pdf

CalSTRS Funding: An Update

May 5, 2017 - For example, if CalSTRS ’ real world portfolio grows by $10  billion, the calculation gives the state the benefit of a roughly $11  billion gain. Of course, the opposite is true as well. When CalSTRS records an investment loss —as they did in 2015 ‑ 16 —the loss to the theoretical investment portfolio is larger than the real world loss, making the state share of
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3662