How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation [Publication Details]

Mar 5, 2026 - The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation [Publication Details] Description: In this brief, we assess the Governor's proposed funding for county administration of Medi-Cal and CalFresh in response to H.R. 1 and provide related recommendations.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5149

The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation

Mar 5, 2026 - Backfilling lost federal benefits under H.R.  1 would require billions of dollars in additional budget solutions. …While Counties Face Multiple Cost Pressures. H.R.  1 also puts strain on county finances.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5149

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis [Publication Details]

Mar 2, 2026 - In this report, we analyze the Governor’s budget for Medi-Cal, with a focus on base spending trends, changes to provider taxes, implementation of new H.R. 1 rules, oversight over enacted budget solutions, and considerations for identifying additional savings in Medi-Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5146

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis

Mar 2, 2026 - Gross revenue is over $12 billion annually. California Recently Pursued Increases to Two Largest Provider Taxes. Federal rules include an overall limit on how much revenue provider taxes can generate.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5146

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - As seen in Figure  7 , the 2019 IHSS MOE reduced the base county costs in 2019 ‑20 to roughly $1.6  billion, decreasing IHSS county costs by roughly $300  million relative to 2018 ‑19. The 2019 IHSS MOE was also set to increase annually by (1)  the counties ’ share of costs from locally negotiated wage increases and (2)  an annual adjustment factor of  4  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: Office of Emergency Services Next Generation 911 System [Publication Details]

Feb 27, 2026 - This brief summarizes the history, costs, and current status of the state’s effort to deploy a Next Generation 911 system and assesses the administration’s proposal to abandon the existing regional approach in favor of a statewide model. It also offers recommendations regarding legislative oversight of this project and the long-term governance of the state’s 911 system.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5145