How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The three minor downturns  (1981, 1987, and 1990) led to income tax declines of less less than 10 percent (average of 5 percent), with revenues recovering quickly. The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The three minor downturns  (1981, 1987, and 1990) led to income tax declines of less less than 10 percent (average of 5 percent), with revenues recovering quickly. The four major downturns were more severe, with income tax declines ranging from 17 percent to 30 percent (average of 24 percent).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - Civil penalties on covered co mpanies may be assessed as a percentage of annual gross revenue, beginning at 5 percent for initial violations and increasing to as much as 100 percent for violations that remain u ncured over specified time periods.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - In 2020‑21 and 2021‑22, the state applied certain supplemental payments towards CalPERS costs, which lowered rates to 29 percent. Since then, rates have generally stabilized around 32 percent. Spending Increases for Financial Aid Are Primarily Due to Tuition Increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

The 2026-27 Budget: Judicial Branch

Feb 11, 2026 - The judicial branch currently manages around 430 facilities across all 58 counties. Its facility program is responsible for various activities including maintaining these facilities, managing leases, and constructing new courthouses to replace outdated facilities.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5113

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - As shown in Figure  5, from 2013-14 through 2020-21, the maximum combined SSI/SSP monthly grant amount for individuals (the bulk of the SSI/SSP caseload) and couples had increased on average by 1.2  percent annually —predominantly due to the provision of federal SSI COLAs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - As Figure  2 shows, DDS caseload has increased notably over the last ten years, with an average annual growth rate of about 5  percent in total caseload from 2015 through 2025. This is faster than the population growth in the state over this period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Care and State Preschool

Mar 19, 2026 - The latter reductions are primarily due to lower Proposition  64 revenues and the use of one ‑time federal carryover funds in 2025 ‑26 ( Figure  5 ). Figure 4
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5168

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Welfare

Mar 3, 2026 - Family First Prevention Services State Block Grant $222.4 million one ‑time in 2021 ‑22, available through June 30, 2028. Complex Care Needs: $18.1 million ongoing beginning in 2021 ‑22. County Capacity Building $43.2 million one ‑time in 2021 ‑22, available through June 30, 2026.
https://lao.ca.gov/publications/report/5147