How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - Throughout the mid-to-late 1990s, the stock market boomed over optimism around the Internet and dot-com start-ups. Strong tax revenue trends from this boom generated large budget surpluses that ultimately gave way to serious deficits once the bubble burst and PIT revenues declined nearly 30  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - Civil penalties on covered co mpanies may be assessed as a percentage of annual gross revenue, beginning at 5 percent for initial violations and increasing to as much as 100 percent for violations that remain u ncured over specified time periods.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - Revenues Generally Cover Costs Over Time. While realignment revenues will not cover all county responsibilities in each year, in general, revenues should grow sufficiently to cover county costs over time.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - On the other hand, if GO-Biz chose to allocate a large fraction of the current credit pool over a short period, it would sharply increase the fiscal cost of the program over the next several years as credits are claimed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - Importantly, the increased cost for services also reflects a combination of the increases in caseload and utilization over time. Individual Services Vary in Growth Rates and the Relative Share of Expenditures Over Time.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: University of California

Feb 26, 2026 - UC Spending Has Outpaced Inflation Over Past Ten Years. As Figure   7 shows, UC ’s core spending has grown faster than inflation over the past ten years. Over this period, core spending grew at an average annual rate of 4.3   percent compared to an average annual inflation rate of 3.3   percent over the same period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5143

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Care and State Preschool

Mar 19, 2026 - CalWORKs caseload has also grown by over 31,000 (23.9 percent) over this period. Figure 2 shows the total number of subsidized child care slots, as well as total funding, since 2018‑19. Statutory intent language associated with the multiyear agreement would require an additional 44,000 slots in 2026‑27 and 33,000 in 2027‑28.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5168

The 2026-27 Budget: Re-Envisioning State Education Governance

Mar 18, 2026 - They also concluded that the Governor ’s authority over the budget would always provide some influence over program administration, such that assigning administrative duties to another entity could only lead to fragmented governance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5165