Assessing a Shift to Enrollment-Based School Funding

Jan 6, 2026 - The Constitution sets forth three main tests (formulas) for calculating the Proposition  98 guarantee. Test   1 —the most commonly used test over the past 15 years —is based on a share of General Fund revenue and is unaffected by attendance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5100

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - That said, recent budgets have set the SFEU bet ween $3.5  billion and $4.5  billion, so the Governor ’s budget proposal to set the balance to $4.5  billion is generally in line with recent policy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: K-12 Proposals

Feb 19, 2026 - The administration ind icates it plans to modify this part of the proposal in the May Revision and may allow funds to be used for a broader set of activities related to community  schools. Effects of Community Schools Model Research Finds Benefits to Community Schools Model.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5131

The 2026-27 Budget: California Education Learning Lab

Mar 25, 2026 - For example, CSU ’s Artificial Intelligence Educational Innovations Challenge ​ supports faculty-led projects that test new teaching methods that incorporate AI, including projects focused on STEM courses.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5171

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 98 Guarantee and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 4, 2026 - For any given year, the relationship between revenues and the guarantee depends on which Proposition  98 test is operative and whether another test could become operative with different inputs. In 2025 ‑26 and 2026 ‑27, Test 1 is likely to remain operative even if revenues or other inputs vary significantly from the Governor ’s budget estimates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5110

The 2026-27 Budget: Framework for Approaching the Natural Resources, Environmental Protection, and Agriculture Budget

Feb 10, 2026 - We also highlight ways the Legislature could consider modifying certain proposals —such as by shifting their fund source or downsizing their scope —if it finds a compelling rationale for their support but is constrained by the General Fund condition.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5116

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposed Elimination of State Environmental Positions

Feb 17, 2026 - The final budget agreement instead eliminated fewer positions (4,994) and provided the Legislature additional time to review 1,009 additional positions which we refer to as “residual: ” (1)  those associated with implementing legislation chaptered in 2022 and 2023 across numerous departments, and (2)  all of those in nine specified departments which we highlight in Figure  1.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5124

The 2026-27 Budget: Office of Emergency Services Next Generation 911 System

Feb 27, 2026 - The  Legislature then enacted Chapter  926  of  2014 (S B  1211 ,  Padilla), which directed OES to develop a plan and time line for testing, implementing, and operating a Next Generation 911 system, including text ‑to ‑911.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5145