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How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - With the concentration of stock market gains in technology companies, any event that shakes mar ket confidence, including things beyond waning enthusiasm about AI, could be detrimental to state revenues.    
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - With the concentration of stock market gains in technology companies, any event that shakes mar ket confidence, including things beyond waning enthusiasm about AI, could be detrimental to state revenues.    
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - Civil penalties on covered co mpanies may be assessed as a percentage of annual gross revenue, beginning at 5 percent for initial violations and increasing to as much as 100 percent for violations that remain u ncured over specified time periods.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

Property tax rules for inherited property. [Ballot]

Jan 21, 2026 - The measure ’s changes could affect counties ’ costs to do so. The net effect on county administrative costs is unclear but likely would not exceed the low tens of millions of dollars annually. Summary of Fiscal Effects.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-035

The 2026-27 Budget: Department of Developmental Services

Mar 13, 2026 - As Figure  2 shows, DDS caseload has increased notably over the last ten years, with an average annual growth rate of about 5  percent in total caseload from 2015 through 2025. This is faster than the population growth in the state over this period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5157

The 2026-27 Budget: Permitting Support at the State Water Resources Control Board

Mar 2, 2026 - For example, SWRCB reports that out of all dredge/fill permit applications received, the share of state-only permit applications increased from about 5  percent before Sackett to about 20  percent after that decision.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5144

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - Figure  5 shows both the total value of awards made and the amount recaptured for each year of the program. For awards made between 2014 and 2020, the recapture rate is almost 55  percent. This indicates that around half of the net job increases and investments promised in negotiated agreements ultimately never come to fruition or are not maintained long term.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Ongoing, the Governor ’s spending ‑related solutions provide $5  billion in savings within a few years. Appendix 1 provides a list of the Governor ’s budget solutions. Generates $5.6 Billion School and Community College Settle‑Up Obligation in 2025‑26.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101