COVID-19 and California’s Evolving Fiscal Outlook

Mar 18, 2020 - Volatile Financial Markets Indicate Lower Capital Gains-Related Tax Revenue Taxes on capital gains are a significant source of state revenue. Even in “normal ” times, capital gains income is difficult to forecast because it correlates with stock market performance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4203

Taking Stock of California’s Recession Readiness

Feb 12, 2020 - Not least are signs of slowing economic growth and risk from draft federal regulations regarding the types of fees and taxes the state can levy on healthcare providers. Therefore, in addition to reserves, the Legislature may want to consider the role of planned operating surpluses as a preemptive fiscal defense against a recession.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4156

The 2020-21 Budget: Structuring the Budget

Feb 10, 2020 - Managed Care Organization (MCO) Tax Approved. After enacting the 2019 ‑ 20 b udget in June, the Legislature reauthorized the MCO tax in September. The MCO tax generates General Fund benefit by taxing enrollment in MCOs and using that revenue to offset General Fund costs in Medi ‑Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4150

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - Recently, corporation tax collections have grown faster than anticipated while personal income tax collections have grown somewhat slower. The administration assumes that this pattern will continue. This is because they attribute the pattern to partnerships, which are taxed under the personal income tax, changing to corporations in response to 2017 federal tax changes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135