How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Office of Emergency Services Next Generation 911 System

Feb 27, 2026 - In other words, OES plans to use a technology that will “convert ” legacy communications into data that can be transmitted on the Next Generation network. Three ‑Phase Implementation Plan Includes Interim and Long ‑Term Statewide Contracts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5145

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Welfare

Mar 3, 2026 - (In other words, a youth will be able to receive the same level of financial support and services whether they are placed with a resource family, in an STRTP, or another placement type.) In addition to restructuring foster care maintenance payments, the 2024-25 statutory changes also added two new foster care programs and corresponding rate components: (1)  Strengths Building and Child and Family Determination Program, and (2)  Immediate Needs Program.
https://lao.ca.gov/publications/report/5147

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - In other words, there is no explicit downside risk of making the award. …But Also Indicates a Possible Trade-Off. However, there is a potential trade-off when considering awarding a credit to an applicant with a higher potential benefit to the state but a lower probability of achieving their milestones, compared to an applicant with a lower benefit but who is more likely to achieve their milestones.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: Judicial Branch

Feb 11, 2026 - In other words, these projects do not necessarily undergo the same review as the new construction projects. For exa mple, some of these projects may not go through formal review by Department of Finance (DOF) staff that focus on capital outlay.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5113

The 2025-26 Budget: Estimated State Savings From Proposition 47

Feb 26, 2025 - In other words, the administration assumes that Proposition  36 will essentially reverse Proposition  47. We find this assumption causes the administration ’s methodology to overestimate the effect of Proposition  36 in two ways: Does Not Account for Key Features of Treatment-Mandated Felony.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4991

The 2025-26 Budget: Department of Real Estate

Mar 19, 2025 - In other words, the relationship between fee increases and revenues may not be linear, meaning revenue may not increase at the same rate as fees. Recommendation Direct DRE to Provide a Plan Describing Specific Actions It Can Take to Address Structural Imbalance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5019

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033