The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget [Publication Details]

Jan 12, 2026 - On January 9, 2026, Governor Newsom’s administration presented its proposed state budget to the California Legislature. In this report, we provide a high-level summary and our initial analysis of the Governor’s budget based on our preliminary review (as of January 10). Assembly Budget Handout (PDF) Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Handout (PDF)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - (We consider a proposal to be “discretionary” if it provides more funding for a program or a service above what is already committed under current law or policy.) After 2026‑27, these proposals would add about $200 million in ongoing spending.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2025-26 Budget: California Spending Plan Series [Publication Details]

Oct 16, 2025 - Each year, our office publishes California Spending Plan, a series of publications that summarize the annual state budget. The flagship report of this series, Overview of the Spending Plan, is presented here along with short online posts that focus on major areas and features of the 2025-26 budget package. As the posts become available, we will add them below.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5105

The 2026-27 Budget: Cap-and-Invest Expenditure Plan

Feb 10, 2026 - In light of this, we think the Legislature should carefully consider what types of activities it would like to include in this category —and potentially provide this guidance to the administration in statute, as appropriate —recognizing that this year ’s decisions could serve as a precedent going forward.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5114

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The Nasdaq composite, which includes the California headquartered companies Nvidia, Google, Facebook, Apple, AMD, and Broadcom, has doubled since 2023. The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - The Nasdaq composite, which includes the California headquartered companies Nvidia, Google, Facebook, Apple, AMD, and Broadcom, has doubled since 2023. The meteoric rise in the value of these companies has led to sizable gains for their investors and their employees via stock options, which has led income tax collections to grow at double-digit rates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: Child Welfare

Mar 3, 2026 - Some questions for the Legislature to consider as it oversees these programs include: What are the major outputs, outcomes, and impacts of the funding to date? What do youth and families view as the most notable results or effects of the funding?
https://lao.ca.gov/publications/report/5147

The 2026-27 Budget: Cap-and-Invest Expenditure Plan [Publication Details]

Feb 10, 2026 - In this report, we review the Governor’s proposed plan for spending cap-and-invest revenues in 2026-27.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5114

The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation

Mar 5, 2026 - Additionally, in taking this task on, the administration will be adding to the many competing priorities that are underway. This means that temporary funding may need to be in place until ongoing methodologies can be  established.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5149

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104