California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk Search In Fiscal Perspectives , the Legislative Analyst periodically offers the Legislature his views on fiscal matters facing California. California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk January 23, 2026 Tweet Gabriel PetekLegislative Analyst History suggests that fiscal risks can build during times when they are easiest to ignore.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Building California’s Behavioral Health Infrastructure: Progress Update and Opportunities for the Proposition 1 Bond

Feb 5, 2025 - The administration is working to allocate the bond funding quickly, with plans to aw ard up to $3.3  billion in May 2025 and a stated commitment to award all funding by 2026. This leaves a brief window in which the Legislature can conduct oversight of the program and influence the administration ’s program administration decisions.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4954

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2023-24 Budget: Commission on Peace Officer Standards and Training—Office of Administrative Hearing Costs

Feb 13, 2023 - As of January 2023, POST had filled roughly one-third of its 16 positions in the Intake and Disposition bureau, which is responsible for analyzing and evaluating complaints received from the public and serious misconduct allegations received from l aw enforcement agencies.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4677

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - This is because a federal court previously determined that the payments required by certain tribal-state com pacts into the state ’s General Fund for use at the state ’s discretion generally were an illegal tax prohibited under federal law.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

Implementing California’s Child Welfare Prevention Services Program

Jan 28, 2026 - Similarly, a number of counties offer “promotoras y promotores ” programs, which offer  a similar model specifically tailored for Hispanic/Latino/Spanish ‑speaking communities. These  program models are not currently included in the federal clearinghouse.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5106

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762

The 2023-24 Budget: May Revenue Outlook [EconTax Blog]

May 13, 2023 - Leading Indicators Continue to Offer Warning for Economic Outlook. We cannot say for sure if and when current weaknesses in parts of the economy could spread more broadly. In Outlooks last May and November , however, we discussed how certain economic indicators offered a warning that a broader slowdown could be on the horizon.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/774