How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Follow-up Evaluation of the District of Choice Program

Feb 1, 2021 - The data show that show male and female students each accounted fo r 5 0  p ercent of the students using the program i n 2 018 ‑19. The variation among individual districts also is relatively small. When we examined individual districts with at leas t 5 0 t ransfer students, the share of female students ranged fro m 4 0  p ercent t o 6 0  p ercent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4329

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2021-22 Budget: Public School Restrooms Feminine Hygiene Products Mandate

Mar 1, 2021 - Accordingly, we recommend increasing the high school block grant funding rate by $0. 47 p er student and the K ‑ 8 r ate by $0. 29 p er student. Subscribe | California State Legislature | Online Voter Registration | Privacy Policy | Accessibility Legislative Analyst's Office | The California Legislature's Nonpartisan Fiscal and Policy Advisor 925 L Street, Suite 1000 Sacramento, CA 95814 | (916) 445-4656
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4392

Addressing Chronic Vacancies in Prison Mental Health Care

Feb 23, 2026 - In July and August 2025, SQRC ’s vacancy rate was 0   percent —well under the court ‑ordered 10  percent vacancy rate. During a site visit in July 2025, SQRC staff noted that retention was high at the prison, and that new applicants have had to be placed on the waitlist because of how well staffed the prison is.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5134

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Tax Credit Expansions in the American Rescue Plan

Apr 13, 2021 - Child Tax Credit Under prior law, the CTC provided filers with income below $200,000 ($400,000 for joint filers) a credit of up to $2,000 for every dependent from ages 0 to 16, and up to $500 for dependents 17 and older.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4410

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028