Results from the past 5 years


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How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - Flavor Ban. In a November 2022 referendum, voters approved Chapter  34 of 2020 (SB  793, Hill), which bans most sales of flavored tobacco products. ( “Flavored ” refers to non ‑tobacco flavors, such as menthol cigarettes or fruit ‑flavored e ‑cigarettes.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs [Publication Details]

Feb 23, 2026 - In this post, we discuss three Governor’s budget proposals for the Department of Tax and Fee Administration’s (CDTFA’s) cannabis and tobacco programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5132

The 2026-27 Budget: K-12 Proposals

Feb 19, 2026 - The administration ind icates it plans to modify this part of the proposal in the May Revision and may allow funds to be used for a broader set of activities related to community  schools. Effects of Community Schools Model Research Finds Benefits to Community Schools Model.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5131

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - That said, recent budgets have set the SFEU bet ween $3.5  billion and $4.5  billion, so the Governor ’s budget proposal to set the balance to $4.5  billion is generally in line with recent policy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

Immunology and immunotherapy. [Ballot]

Dec 17, 2025 - The net fiscal impact of the ind irect effects of the measure is unknown at this time. Summary of Fiscal Effects. We estimate that the measure would have the following major, direct fiscal effect: Increased state costs of about $500 million annually for 25 years to repay the bonds.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-026

Artificial intelligence (AI) and child safety. [Ballot]

Dec 12, 2025 - Requires Schools to Ban Use of Internet-Enabled Devices During Instructional Time . The measure requires school governing boards to develop and adopt a policy prohibiting students from using all internet-enabled devices, including smartphones, during school time by July 1, 2027.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-025

Relating to attorney fees and medical damages in motor vehicle accident cases. [Ballot]

Nov 24, 2025 - Specifically, it bans contracts that result in the client retaining less than 75 percent of the settlement or court judgement. Payments to pursue or settle the case, such as up-front litigation costs, would be deducted from the total amount before calculating the perce ntage.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-022

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Executive Summary Not Safe to Bet Artificial Intelligence ( AI) Fueled Exuberance Is Sustainable. Both the California and U.S. economies currently face significant headwinds.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091