The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It. With so much enthusiasm surrounding AI, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. History suggests that the stock market is prone to overreact to major technological advances, even if the technology itself turns out to be revolutionary.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - Most notably, the measure requires tribes and technology businesses to pay a one-time initial license fee of $10  million and a license renewal fee of $1  million every five years. Gaming companies would be required to pay a one-time initial license fee of $100  million and a license renewal fee of $10  million every five years.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Housing, Homelessness and Local Government

Oct 22, 2025 - The budget provides $2.4  million one-time General Fund for the Civil Right Department ’s California vs. Hate initiative. California vs. Hate is a non-emergency hotline and online portal that allows state residents to report hate crimes and hate incidents.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5082

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At the same time, CA DOJ, county district attorneys, and city attorneys can pursue criminal actions seeking fines or convictions for violations of the state ’s gaming laws. Tribal-State Compacts. Native American tribes possess special status under federal law.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - At the same time, state and/or local revenues could increase due to required fees (such as regulatory fees), payments (such as a share of sports wagering revenues), or tax revenues from economic activity associated with sports wagering.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - At the same time, DOJ, county district attorneys, and city attorneys can pursue criminal actions seeking fines or convictions for violations of th e state ’s gaming laws. Tribal-State Compacts. Indian tribes possess special status under federal law.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

Immunology and immunotherapy. [Ballot]

Dec 17, 2025 - The net fiscal impact of the ind irect effects of the measure is unknown at this time. Summary of Fiscal Effects. We estimate that the measure would have the following major, direct fiscal effect: Increased state costs of about $500 million annually for 25 years to repay the bonds.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-026