How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - This Time Might Be Different, but It Is Not Safe to Bet on It.   As our office warned last November, it now appears time to take seriously the notion that the stock market has become overheated. While there is a chance that this time is different and no such downturn is forthcoming, the risk appears strong enough that we have incorporated it into the state 's revenue outlook.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - These companies have made big bets on AI, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on data centers and offering extraordinary pay packages to recruit AI researchers. This spending, coupled with sizable gains to investors and tech company employees via stock options, is boosting state income tax receipts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

Online sports wagering. [Ballot]

Oct 20, 2021 - Authorizes Actions Against Illegal Online Sports Wagering. The measure imposes a 15  percent tax on people in California who illegally make online sports wagers. This tax is applied to the amount a person bets.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-017

Gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Tribes that choose to adopt the model compact agreement to govern in-person and/or online sports wagering would have the primary responsibility to regulate sports wagering. For exa mple, such tribes would be responsible for reviewing what games or bets can be offered and what rules would apply (such as how payouts for winning wagers are calculated).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-030

Tribal gaming. [Ballot]

Dec 27, 2021 - Tribes that choose to adopt the model compact agreement to govern in-person and/or online sports wagering would have the primary responsibility to regulate sports wagering. For exa mple, such tribes would be responsible for reviewing what games or bets can be offered and what rules would apply (such as how payouts for winning wagers are calculated).
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-039

Sports wagering. [Ballot]

Dec 18, 2023 - Key details of the bill and/or compacts that could significantly impact the magnitude of the fiscal effects include: the specific sports wagering activities which are authorized (such as whether both in-person and online sports wagering are permitted as well as the types of games that may be bet upon), the regulatory structure adopted, and the specific payments required.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2023-031

An Update on California Competes [EconTax Blog]

Mar 10, 2023 - One potential interpretation is that the state is making high risk-high reward bets on businesses. While many of these bets do not pan out, the ones that do can be successful enough to yield overall benefits for the state.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/771

The 2021-22 Budget: Analysis of the Major University Proposals

Feb 1, 2021 - In a California Student Aid Commission survey of financial aid applicants across all se gments conducted in late spring 2020, over 70  p ercent of respondents reported experiencing a loss of income due to the pandemic.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4336

The 2021-22 Budget: California Community Colleges

Feb 16, 2021 - In a California Student Aid Commission survey of financial aid applicants across a ll segments conducted in late spring 2020, over   70  p ercent of respondents reported experiencing a loss of income due to the pandemic.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4372