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As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, California has experienced an unprecedented rise in unemployment since the beginning of March. Through March and April, the key measure that captured the impact of the virus on the state’s workers was the number of new unemployment claims being filed each week. Going forward, this number will still be important as a gauge of whether a second wave of business closures and layoffs is emerging. Equally important to track going forward, however, will be the level of continued claims—the total number of people receiving unemployment benefits in a given week. Should continue claims start to decline, it could signal that some businesses are bringing workers back. Should continued claims keep rising, however, it could signal that the state is in for a protracted slump.

Initial Claims Similar to Recent Weeks. California had 230,461 initial claims between May 24 and May 30. Claims have remained steady in the neighborhood of 225,000 for the last four weeks. The claims total for last week still is well above the record high prior to the COVID-19 outbreak of 115,462 in January 2010.

Continued Claims Seem To Be Leveling Off. As of May 30, California had about 4 million workers receiving unemployment benefits. This includes about 3.4 million receiving traditional unemployment benefits and about 575,000 receiving Pandemic Unemployment Assistance—a new program created to expand eligibility for unemployment insurance to self-employed workers and others not typically eligible for the traditional program. The pace of growth in continued claims has slowed consistently in recent weeks, posting only a slight uptick last week. For the sake of accurate historical comparison, the graph below shows only the traditional unemployment claims.

 



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