Cal Facts: 2016

Dec 5, 2016 - While the county jail and community supervision populations have declined somewhat, the share of total offenders under county jurisdiction has increased from 59 percent to 69 percent over the same time period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3511/4

Cal Facts: 2016

Dec 5, 2016 - The federal loans are estimated to be repaid in 2018, in part due to temporarily increased revenues from federal UI taxes paid by employers. However, absent an ongoing increase in revenues and/or reduction in benefits, the trust fund risks returning to insolvency in a future economic downturn.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3511/7

November 2016 State Tax Collections [EconTax Blog]

Dec 2, 2016 - November 2016 State Tax Collections [EconTax Blog] Seth Kerstein We now have preliminary information from the state 's tax agencies on November 2016 state tax collections--specifically, the state 's "Big Three " General Fund taxes: the personal income tax (PIT), the corporation tax (CT), and the sales and use tax (SUT).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/219

October 2016 State Jobs Report [EconTax Blog]

Dec 1, 2016 - Follow @LAOEconTax on Twitter for regular California economy and tax updates.  
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/203

Hydraulic Fracturing: How It Works and Recent State Oversight Actions

Dec 1, 2016 - With a few exceptions, well stimulation treatments were limited to Kern, Kings, and Ventura counties in relatively well-established oil fields. Initial Independent Study Completed. Senate Bill 4 requires the California Natural Resources Agency to contract for an independent scientific study on well stimulation treatments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3513

Fiscal Outlook: Examining Property Tax Growth Rates [EconTax Blog]

Nov 16, 2016 - The figure below shows this relationship for 24 large counties since 1994. (For the purpose of illustration, this figure shows only observations with positive home price growth.) In general, when home prices increase, assessed values rise.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/215

The 2017-18 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 16, 2016 - Under our current projections, assuming no changes in existing state and federal policies, we estimate the state will end the 2017-18 fiscal year with $11.5 billion in total reserves. This includes $8.7 billion in required reserves, which must be deposited into the rainy day fund, and $2.8 billion in discretionary reserves, which the Legislature can appropriate for any purpose.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3507/1

Fiscal Outlook Supplement on Proposition 2

Nov 16, 2016 - Under Proposition 2, the state must deposit money into the BSA until its total reaches a maximum amount of 10 percent of General Fund taxes. In our outlook, this ceiling increases from about $12.3 billion in 2016-17 to a projected $14.7 billion in 2020-21 under the growth scenario.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3508

The 2017-18 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 16, 2016 - This increase in county contributions to IHSS costs could decrease our projected state share of cost for the IHSS program by hundreds of millions of dollars annually in the out–years. Restoration of the IHSS Service Hours Previously Reduced by 7  Percent Tied to MCO Tax Existence.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3507

The 2017-18 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 16, 2016 - This means, under our assumptions, the state could weather a mild recession without cutting spending or raising taxes. However, this conclusion assumes that the state does not make any changes to its current policies and programs in any year during the outlook.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/3507