How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget package increases the annual allocation of credits available under the Film and Television Tax Credit from $330  million to $750  million. This increase applies to version 4.0 of the program from fiscal years 2025-26 through 2029-30 and is estimated to reduce state revenues by $209  million per year by 2028-29, and more than this in subsequent years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

Overview of Diversity Efforts in the Film Tax Credit Program

May 1, 2025 - In 2009, the Legislature created a film tax credit to encourage motion picture and television productions to locate in California. The 1990s and 2000s had seen a proliferation of similar credits in other states and countries, which led to policymakers voicing concerns about projects choosing to film in jurisdictions with generous incentives instead of in Hollywood, often referred
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5036

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Film and Television Tax Credit Program California Film Tax Credit Created in 2009. In response to the proliferation of state ‑level tax credits and other incentives for film and TV production in the early 2000s, the Legislature approved the creation of its own credit in 2009.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943