The 2016-17 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook - California's Fiscal Outlook [Video]

View  this video on   YouTube . Video Selection California 's Fiscal Outlook Subscribe | California State Legislature | Online Voter Registration | Privacy Policy | Accessibility Legislative Analyst's Office | The California Legislature's Nonpartisan Fiscal and Policy Advisor 925 L Street, Suite 1000 Sacramento, CA 95814 | (916) 445-4656
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=95

The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal - The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal February 24, 2016 Watch it on YouTube .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=101

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - By shifting payments to the next fiscal year, these deferrals create one‑time savings in 2025‑26. Similar to other forms of borrowing, undoing these deferrals in the future (and reverting payments to their typical schedule) will require the state to provide one‑time back payments to the universities.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

California's Legislative Analyst's Office and the Value of Independence

Nov 15, 2024 - As such, our independent fiscal assessment underlies the Legislature ’s ability to assert an informed check on the executive branch, making any added complexity from diverging estimates a worthwhile trade-off.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4938

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - Several historically reliable signs suggest the stock market is overheated and at high risk of reversing course into a downturn in the next year or so. Should a stock market downturn occur, income tax revenues would fall considerably.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - In the past, these patterns have been a sign that a stock market downturn will occur in the next couple of years. There certainly is some chance that this time is different and such a downturn is not forthcoming.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Outside of government and health care, the state has added no jobs in a year and a half. Similarly, the number of Californians who are unemployed is 25  percent higher than during the strong labor markets of 2019 and 2022.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - As it shows, we estimate our recommendations would allow the state to cover about three ‑quarters of funding shortfalls over the next 50 years. These Recommendations Are an Honest Reflection of Revenue Volatility.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2019-20 Budget: Proposition 98 Outlook

Nov 14, 2018 - Looking forward over the next several years, school attendance is projected to continue decreasing and increasing in these same respective areas. Staffing Pressures Districts Have Been Adding Faculty.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3897