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Economy and Taxes (35)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The budget provides $5  million in one-time General Fund for California Volunteers to offer grants to AmeriCorps programs to fund coaches at K-12 schools. This program has received limited-term funding in prior years, including $5  million in 2024-25.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - These funds would be allocated to school districts based on their share of statewide enrollment in grades 7 to 12. The budget package also required school districts to certify by July 2029 that a certain portion of their staff who work directly with students in grades 7 to 12 have received youth behavioral health training at least once.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - The Cigarette and Tobacco Products Compliance Fund had a $2  million surplus in 2023-24 and entered 2024-25 with a $12  million balance. In principle, these resources, together with the proposed augmentation, should cover the cost of implementing these laws without any need to redirect resources away from other aspects of the licensing program.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Figure  12 shows how the state ’s current taxable wage base and our recommendation compare to other states. If the state raised the maximum weekly benefit amount, the corresponding taxable wage base would also need to increase.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2011-12 Budget: The Administration's Revenue Accrual Approach [Publication Details]

Jan 31, 2011 - In the administration's budget figures, this approach increases revenues available for the 2011-12 budget process by over $700 million and decreases the 2011-12 minimum funding guarantee for schools and community colleges by $1.5 billion below what it would have been otherwise.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/2420

California’s Fiscal Outlook: The 2011-12 Budget [Publication Details]

Nov 10, 2010 - California’s Fiscal Outlook: The 2011-12 Budget [Publication Details] Video Description: Our forecast of California’s General Fund revenues and expenditures shows that the state must address a budget problem of $25.4 billion between now and the time the Legislature enacts a 2011‑12 state budget plan.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/2365

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - Under our outlook, Proposition  98 General Fund spending on schools and community colleges is $89  billion in 2026 ‑ 27 —nearly $12  billion above our projected 2023 ‑24 level and $5  billion higher than the administration ’s projection for 2026 ‑27.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772