The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure  2, at the end of this post, lists the major economic variables under our new moderate growth scenario through 2022. As we discussed in November, accurately predicting the future path of the economy is not possible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video]

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video] Search LAO Videos The 2022-23 Budget: California 's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability November 17, 2021 Legislative Analyst Gabriel Petek hosts a video call with members of the press after the release of the LAO 's report The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=116

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2025-26 Budget: Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development

Mar 18, 2025 - The 2022-23 budget provided $25  million one-time General Fund for the program within the California Office of the Small Business Advocate (CalOSBA) to be spent in 2022-23 and 2023-24. Grant Applications Were Evaluated by Contractor REDF.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5018

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - Since the flavor ban, however, revenues have declined much faster, from $1.84  billion in 2021-22 to $1.6  billion in 2022-23, then to $1.35  billion in 2023-24 (not including the new tax on electronic cigarettes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

Community Land Trust Property Tax Exemption

Dec 20, 2024 - Chapter  636 of 2022 (AB  1206, Bennett) modified the rules community land trust properties must meet to qualify for the property tax exemption, making it easier for properties to maintain their exemption when low-income residents experience a modest gain in income.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4946

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - In 2020, 10  percent of buses entering service for large transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 28  percent. In 2020, 11  percent of buses entering service for small transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 38  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

Annual Report on Tax Exemptions for Medicinal Cannabis

Jun 14, 2023 - As shown in Figure  1, licensees donated a wide variety of products in 2022. Figure 1 Amounts of Products Donated Under SB 34 Exemption in 2022 Product
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4777

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We assess the pseudo-out-of-sample prediction errors for each specification using the monthly CPS from January to December 2022 as our training set and the monthly CPS from January to December 2023 as our test set.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4