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Economy and Taxes (42)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure  2, at the end of this post, lists the major economic variables under our new moderate growth scenario through 2022. As we discussed in November, accurately predicting the future path of the economy is not possible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video]

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video] Search LAO Videos The 2022-23 Budget: California 's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability November 17, 2021 Legislative Analyst Gabriel Petek hosts a video call with members of the press after the release of the LAO 's report The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=116

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The Commission determined that the county incurred a total amount of about $30,000 in back-year costs (incurred between 2022 and 2024), and about $8,000 in ongoing costs thereafter. The ongoing costs are for the p rinting of disclosures.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - To address this, the 2021, 2022, and 2023 budget acts each provided one-time funding of $120  million for a grant program to supplement the tax credit. The Governor ’s budget proposals in 2024 and 2025 each included $60  million to fund the grant program but were not included in the final budget act due to projected deficits in those years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - In a November 2022 referendum, voters approved Chapter  34 of 2020 (SB  793, Hill), which bans most sales of flavored tobacco products. ( “Flavored ” refers to non ‑tobacco flavors, such as menthol cigarettes or fruit ‑flavored e ‑cigarettes.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - Of these positions, the control section directs DOF to identify positions proposed for elimination that had been authorized to implement legislation passed in 2022 and 2023. DOF identified 116.5 positions that fall into this category.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - Since the flavor ban, however, revenues have declined much faster, from $1.84  billion in 2021-22 to $1.6  billion in 2022-23, then to $1.35  billion in 2023-24 (not including the new tax on electronic cigarettes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2025-26 Budget: Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development

Mar 18, 2025 - The 2022-23 budget provided $25  million one-time General Fund for the program within the California Office of the Small Business Advocate (CalOSBA) to be spent in 2022-23 and 2023-24. Grant Applications Were Evaluated by Contractor REDF.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5018