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Economy and Taxes (10)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - This amount includes $10  million for Federation Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) World Cup security costs, $10  million for Family Justice Centers, and $8  million to the City of Los Angeles for fire engine purchases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2019-20 Budget: California Spending Plan—Conformity

Oct 17, 2019 - The budget package ma de two changes to ABLE account rules to conform to 2017 changes in federal law. The first change was to allow beneficiaries of ABLE accounts that have their own income to contribute amounts up to the federal poverty level to their own ABLE accounts.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4100

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2017-18 Budget: The Board of Equalization

Mar 7, 2017 - Taken together, these facts suggest that many loans are de facto additions to board members ’ staff in excess of budgetary authority. LAO Recommendation Use Provisional Language to Restrict Board Members ’ Use of Resources.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3609

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

The 2022-23 Budget: Supply Chain and Port Infrastructure Proposals

Feb 15, 2022 - For example, several proposals would establish new programs that might require additional feedback from stakeholders to determine key de tails, such as program guidelines and allocation criteria. Before the Legislature takes any action on these proposals, it will be important to require the administration to provide additional information to ensure the requested funding will be implemented according to its priorities.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4540

Income Mobility in California Across Generations

Jan 4, 2017 - While growing up in California results in lower future earnings for low–income children on average , there is a great de al of variation in these outcomes at a local level. Within California, growing up in a particular county can increase or decrease a child’s future annual income by a couple of thousand dollars.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3518