How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Home Price Update: October 2021 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2021 - California has seen higher 12-month growth rates before: price growth topped out at 25.2 percent in 2004 and 23.7 percent in 2013. In contrast, the nation ’s highest previous growth rate since 1996 (the first year in Zillow ’s database) was 11.9 percent in 2005.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/714

Home Prices Update: September 2021 [EconTax Blog]

Oct 20, 2021 - California has seen higher 12-month growth rates before: price growth topped out at 25.2 percent in 2004 and 23.7 percent i n 2013. In contrast, the nation ’s highest previous growth rate since 1996 (the first year in Zillow ’s database) was 11.9 percent in 2005.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/706

The 2026-27 Budget: Supplemental Security Income/State Supplementary Payment (SSI/SSP) Program

Mar 3, 2026 - As shown in Figure  5, from 2013-14 through 2020-21, the maximum combined SSI/SSP monthly grant amount for individuals (the bulk of the SSI/SSP caseload) and couples had increased on average by 1.2  percent annually —predominantly due to the provision of federal SSI COLAs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5148

The 2026-27 Budget: Office of Emergency Services Next Generation 911 System

Feb 27, 2026 - This roadmap projected that the system would be completed around 2015. 2013 to 2018 —Project Moves to OES and Design Validated. Responsibility for public safety communications (including the 911  system) was subsequently transferred to OES in 2013 through budget action during the Brown administration.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5145

The 2026-27 Budget: California State University

Feb 24, 2026 - The state pays costs for the employer contribution associated with CSU’s 2013‑14 payroll level. CSU pays the employer contribution for any payroll growth above that level. The state adopted this arrangement in 2013‑14 to provide CSU with a stronger fiscal incentive to contain staffing costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5142

Oversight of certain public benefit artificial intelligence (AI) companies. [Ballot]

Jan 20, 2026 - The measure would have the following major fiscal effects: Increased state costs that would likely be in the tens of millions of dollars annually to establish and operate a new regulatory commission overseeing certain public benefit AI com panies.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2025-033

The 2026-27 Budget: In-Home Supportive Services

Mar 18, 2026 - As seen in Figure  3 , IHSS caseload has grown significantly since 2013. Despite slower caseload growth between 2016 ‑17 and 2020 ‑21 (the caseload continued to grow during this period, just at a slower than usual rate).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5166