California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - In March of 2004, on the heels of the dot ‑com bust, voters passed Proposition  58, which created the Budget Stabilization Account (BSA). In the 2006 ‑07 budget, the Legislature deposited $472  million into the BSA and in 2007 ‑08 deposited $1.5  billion.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - For California, the dot ‑com era —when stocks rose and then fell precipitously in response to widespread adoption of the internet —offers the most salient example. The internet has proven to be a transformative technology and, yet, the stock market ’s initial reaction was clearly overly exuberant.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The State Appropriations Limit

Apr 21, 2021 - The state ’s appropriations subject to the limit fell substantially during the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s and again during the Great Recession due to the significant decline in state revenues during those downturns.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4416

The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Proposals

Apr 26, 2021 - The 2021-22 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Proposals The Governor ’s Proposition  2 Proposals Introduction Passed by voters in 2014, Proposition  2 changed budgeting practices concerning: (1)  reserves and (2)  debt payments.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4418

The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit

Aug 30, 2021 - The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit The 2021-22 California Spending Plan The State Appropriations Limit In the late 1970s, voters passed Proposition  4 (1979), which added Article XIIIB to the State Constitution.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4449

The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook

Nov 17, 2021 - Federal Coronavirus Disease 2019‑Related Actions With Continued Impact on the State Budget Throughout 2020 and 2021, the federal government took actions and passed legislation that had a significant effect on California ’s budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4472

The 2022-23 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 24, 2022 - In the meantime, we strongly caution the Legislature against passing a budget with a structural deficit stemming from unaddressed SAL requirements. This would ensure the state budget remains on solid footing regardless of possible future changes to the SAL.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4602

The 2021-22 Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Sep 23, 2021 - Reduction in Total Federal and State Taxes for Most S Corporation Shareholders … Most individuals with income from pass-through entities would see their total federal and state taxes fall if the business elects to pay the new tax.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4452

Whether or Not to Tap Reserves to Solve Estimated Budget Problem Emerges as Key Fiscal Decision Facing California’s Legislature

Apr 19, 2023 - Other downturns, such as the 2001 so-called dot-com recession, had severe fiscal implications while inflicting somewhat milder economic damage. The 2008 Great Recession had brutal effects on both the state ’s economy and budget.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4762