The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - This year, for example, our outlook reflects our best estimates of the effects of H.R. 1: One Big Beautiful Bill Act on the state budget but does not make assumptions about future federal policy changes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - That said, recent budgets have set the SFEU bet ween $3.5  billion and $4.5  billion, so the Governor ’s budget proposal to set the balance to $4.5  billion is generally in line with recent policy.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Assessment

Feb 15, 2023 - Based on current information, our best estimate is that revenues for these two years will be roughly $10 billion lower. Budget Problem Likely About $7   Billion Higher —Requiring Additional Solutions .
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4687

New Inflation Poses Not So New Budget Risk

Dec 15, 2022 - This is why inflation and the policy responses to lower it are best thought of as macroeconomic issues to be dealt with by federal policy officials. Second, fiscal policy is most likely to be inflationary when governments run budget deficits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4653

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Current stock prices relative to companies ’ past earnings (a common measure of how “expensive ” stocks are) are at levels rivaled only by the transitory booms of 1999 and 2021. Furthermore, a single company (Nvidia) accounts for about one ‑third of the total gains in the S &P 500 stock index over the last year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

Rethinking California's Reserve Policy

Apr 10, 2025 - That is, we aim to construct a reserve policy that has the best chance of withstanding the test of time and minimizes the need for the Legislature to ask voters to make further changes to the Constitution in a few years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5028

The 2024-25 Budget: Proposition 2 Debt Payment Proposals

Mar 20, 2024 - Employee and Employer Contributions to “Normal Cost. ” The normal cost is the amount actuaries determine must be contributed to the system in a given year to fund the benefit earned by state employees in that year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4887

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - (This borrowing is similar to the measures used during the Great Recession —collectively previously referred to as the state ’s “wall of debt ” —and create obligations that should be repaid or reversed in the future.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2022-23 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 12, 2022 - SAL = state appropriations limit; CAC = California Arts Council; CSSSA = California State Summer School for the Arts; CDE = California Department of Education; CDFA = California Department of Food and Agriculture; CSL = California State Library; CTC = Commission on Teacher Credentialing; DCA = Department of Consumer Affairs; DCC = Department of Cannabis Control; DFPI = Departm ent of Financial
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4616/1

The 2022-23 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Sep 27, 2022 - The budget expands the state ’s existing Young Child Tax Credit (YCTC) to families with no earnings. Previously, the YCTC provided an additional $1,000 refundable tax credit to most families who qualify for the state ’s Earned Income Tax Credit (or CalEITC) who also have children under the age of 6.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4626