The 2022-23 Budget: Supply Chain and Port Infrastructure Proposals

Feb 15, 2022 - Short ‑Term vs. Long ‑Term Strategies. The  current supply chain disruptions are the result of both short ‑term issues, such as greater consumer demand, as well as long ‑term issues, such as the capacity and resilience of the goods movement system.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4540

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - The Governor proposes covering an additional $2  million of annual flavor ban enforcement costs by using existing Compliance Fund appropriations that the department has not been spending. Hemp ‑Derived Cannabinoids.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - This suggests that the annual revenue loss from the flavor ban might be around $300  million to $400  million. Interpretation of Revenue Loss Unclear. Under the flavor ban, people who otherwise would consume flavored tobacco have three main options: (1)  avoid tobacco use altogether, (2)  switch to unflavored tobacco products, or (3)  obtain
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs [Publication Details]

Feb 23, 2026 - In this post, we discuss three Governor’s budget proposals for the Department of Tax and Fee Administration’s (CDTFA’s) cannabis and tobacco programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5132

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - Innovative Clean Transit (ICT) Regulation Conventional Buses vs. ZEBs. The ZEB exemption, the ICT regulation, and various other policies make a distinction between conventional buses and ZEBs. Conventional buses burn diesel, compressed natural gas, or other fuels that emit greenhouse gases (GHGs) and other air pollutants.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We assess the pseudo-out-of-sample prediction errors for each specification using the monthly CPS from January to December 2022 as our training set and the monthly CPS from January to December 2023 as our test set.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4

The 2026-27 Budget: California Competes Extension

Mar 18, 2026 - All three of these changes could have contributed to the trend shown in Figure  2 if (1)  The 25  percent rule was favoring smaller businesses above better-qualified applicants from larger firms, (2)  larger businesses provide better evidence on how the credit affects their decision-making, and (3)  larger firms are more likely to have, or participate in, job training programs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5162

The 2025-26 Budget: California’s Film Tax Credit

Feb 28, 2025 - Finally, California and New York ’s programs tend to stand out as having the most additional requirements such as diversity and workforce development plans, although the tax credit programs outside the U.S. that we analyzed do have cultural tests relating primarily to hiring a certain number of local crewmembers and/or executives.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5000

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - The California Constitution requires the state to reimburse local governments when (1)  new state laws or regulations mandate that they implement a new program or higher level of service and (2)  the local government does not have offsetting revenues available to fully cover the associated costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - Testing an expansion of the traditional California Competes model may have been reasonable a few years ago when the state was flush with resources. In today’s environment, however, it is not prudent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846