How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/852

How Have Past Stock Market Downturns Affected Income Tax Revenue? [EconTax Blog]

Mar 9, 2026 - By most measures, the global financial crisis was more severe than the dot-com crash. The state 's unemployment rate, for example, peaked at 7 percent following the dot-com crash but reached nearly double that during the financial crisis and remained elevated for much longer.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/article/Detail/852

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Experience in other states suggests —much like for the asset limit —that the new requirement will disenroll some working adults due to administrative burden. As such, our outlook includes disenrollment effects from lack of employment as well as administrative burden.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5092

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Nov 19, 2025 - This brief summarizes our annual outlook for General Fund spending on Medi-Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5092

The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation [Publication Details]

Mar 5, 2026 - In this brief, we assess the Governor's proposed funding for county administration of Medi-Cal and CalFresh in response to H.R. 1 and provide related recommendations.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5149

The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation

Mar 5, 2026 - The 2026-27 Budget: County Administration and H.R. 1 Implementation $359 $143 a Includes costs for training, automation, confirmation of work hours engagement, and processed discontinuances. Does not include funding for oral notice of work rules. b Less than $500,000. c Estimated H.R. 1 administrative impacts related to the ABAWD work
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5149

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis

Mar 2, 2026 - For  example, the administration proposes using multiple data sources —including state wage records, Internal Revenue Service data, and third ‑party employment and income data (such as Equifax ’s The Work Number) —to verify income and work activity, and using diagnosis or utilization information to help identify medically frail individuals.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5146

The 2026-27 Budget: Medi-Cal Analysis [Publication Details]

Mar 2, 2026 - In this report, we analyze the Governor’s budget for Medi-Cal, with a focus on base spending trends, changes to provider taxes, implementation of new H.R. 1 rules, oversight over enacted budget solutions, and considerations for identifying additional savings in Medi-Cal.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5146

Home Price Update: October 2021 [EconTax Blog]

Nov 18, 2021 - Previous recessions have had disparate effects on home prices: they were largely unaffected by the collapse of the dot-com bubble in 2001, while in the late 2000s the collapse of the housing bubble was the single biggest factor that led to the financial crisis.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/714