The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - Moreover, we estimate costs in other programs to be about $6  billion higher than anticipated. Starting in 2027 ‑28, we estimate structural deficits to grow to about $35  billion annually due to spending growth continuing to outstrip revenue growth.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - After the dot-com bust and the Great Recession, it took four and five years, respectively, for revenues to recover. Incorporating revenue risk into the budget now, therefore, reflects prudence, not pessimism.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2026-27 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 12, 2026 - The  Governor ’s budget also includes some proposals that provide savings in future years (that is, in 2027 ‑28 and after). This includes proposals to: (1)  remove the state ’s share of costs associated with growth in IHSS hours per case, which we estimate could save $650  million by 2029 ‑30 (if hours continue to grow at their current rates); (2)  make an ongoing reduction to
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5101

The 2024-25 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2024 - This post presents our office ’s forecast of the condition of the state General Fund budget through 2027 ‑28 under our revenue estimates and assuming the Governor ’s May Revision policies are adopted.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4907

The 2022-23 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook

Nov 17, 2021 - Specifically, it is the result of: Higher Revenues of $28 Billion. As can be seen in Figure 2, revenue collections have grown rapidly in recent months, coming in over $10 billion ahead of budget act expectations so far this year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4472

The 2024-25 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2024 - We define a delay as an expenditure reduction that occurs in the budget window (2022 ‑23 through 2024 ‑25), but has an associated expenditure increase in a future year of the multiyear window (2025 ‑26 through 2027 ‑28).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4825

The 2025-26 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 17, 2025 - Revenues for prior and current years are up a total of $6  billion, primarily reflecting stronger ‑than ‑expect personal income tax collections which are running $4  billion ahead of prior projections as of April.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5044

The 2026-27 Budget: How to Use One-Time Revenue Improvements

Feb 20, 2026 - In addition, recent budgets have relied on nearly $30  billion in borrowing to address deficits, and the Governor ’s budget proposes almost $6  billion in additional borrowing (see Figure  1). A period of strong revenue growth is not an appropriate time to draw down significant reserves or continue to rely on borrowing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5133

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - Notably, this cost shift is intended to continue on an ongoing basis—meaning costs incurred in 2026‑27 would be recognized in 2027‑28, and so on. Undoing this maneuver in the future will require the state to pay for two years’ worth of program costs in a single fiscal year.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 16, 2023 - Appendix 4, Figure 6 Remaining Large One ‑Time and Temporary Augmentations From the 2021 ‑22 and 2022 ‑23 Budget Packages: Public Safety General Fund (In millions) Organized Retail, Motor Vehicle, and Cargo Theft Prevention Grants (Public Safety Package) $85 Augmentation to California Violence Intervention and Prevention Program 66 Note: Includes augmentations above $50 million BSCC = Board of State and Community Corrections.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4788/4