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As discussed in an earlier post, new car purchases can be a useful, timely economic indicator. Figure 1 below shows the statewide number of new car registrations from January 2018 through August 2025. This is a good proxy for the number of cars purchased by California residents.

Third Straight Month of Growth. Seasonally-adjusted new car registrations grew 1.6 percent in June, 1 percent in July, and 5 percent in August, but they remain 3 percent lower than recent peaks in December and April. Sales are now somewhat higher than the average level over the last couple of years.

Californians Still Buying Fewer Cars Than Before the Pandemic. Statewide new car registrations declined steadily for several years leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic. Like many other measures of economic activity, registrations plummeted in March and April 2020. Registrations rebounded substantially in the subsequent months but generally have remained below pre-pandemic levels.  For example, registrations in August 2025 were 6 percent lower than in August 2019.

 



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