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The 2020-21 May Revision: Analysis of 2020-21 May Revision IHSS Budget

June 9, 2020 - In this post, we (1) explain the differences between the Governor’s January and May Revision budget estimates for In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS); (2) describe the administration’s IHSS caseload, hours per case, and hourly wage projections; (3) compare the May Revision monthly estimates for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) costs in IHSS to April 2020 actuals; (4) recommend a downward adjustment of at least a $20 million General Fund in 2019-20 to reflect lower-than-estimated utilization and cost of IHSS COVID-19-related response efforts in April 2020; and (5) recommend the Legislature request actual May 2020 utilization data to determine whether additional adjustments to COVID-19 cost estimates are warranted for May 2020 and possibly June 2020.

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The 2020-21 Budget: Effect of Lower Cap-and-Trade Revenues on the High-Speed Rail Project

June 4, 2020 - The final quarterly cap-and-trade auction in 2019-20—which was held in May 2020—generated very little revenue compared to recent auctions. In this post, we discuss how the reduction in cap-and-trade revenues might affect the state’s high-speed rail project.

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Overview of the Legislature's 2020-21 Budget Package

June 4, 2020 - Presented to the Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 6 on Budget Process Oversight and Program Evaluation

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The 2020-21 Budget: Addressing Revenue Uncertainty in the 2020-21 Cap-and-Trade Expenditure Plan

June 4, 2020 - The 2020-21 May Revision includes a $965 million Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (GGRF) discretionary expenditure plan, plus a budget provision to make spending contingent on the amount of revenue collected in 2020-21. In this post, we (1) discuss a few potential 2020-21 revenue scenarios, (2) summarize the Governor’s May Revision GGRF expenditure plan, and (3) identify key issues for the Legislature to consider as it develops a 2020-21 GGRF spending plan in a period of high revenue uncertainty.

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Overview of Initiative Measure to Change Tax Assessment of Commercial Property

June 4, 2020 - Assembly Committee on Local Government and Assembly Committee on Revenue and Taxation

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The 2020-21 May Revision: CalWORKs Caseload-Driven Costs in the 2020-21 May Revision

June 2, 2020 - The 2020-21 May Revision projects California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) caseload to reach historic highs in response to the novel coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and subsequent public health emergency. In this post, we describe this projection, assess it in light of recent data and historical trends, and recommend an alternative set of assumptions.

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Overview of the Senate 2020-21 Budget Package

May 28, 2020 - Presented to the Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Committee

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Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 26, 2020 - Presented to the Assembly Committee of the Whole

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Overview of K-12 and Early Education May Revision Proposals

May 25, 2020 - Presented to: Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Subcommittee No. 1 on Education

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The 2020-21 May Revision: Recommend Reduction to Medi-Cal Caseload Costs

May 22, 2020 - This post provides our analysis of the Governor’s May Revision projections related to Medi-Cal caseload. The May Revision assumes significant General Fund cost increases related to projected increases in Medi-Cal caseload due to the deteriorating economic environment caused by the coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19). As we describe below, we find that the administration’s assumed caseload costs in Medi-Cal are likely significantly overstated and recommend a downward reduction to the Medi-Cal budget of $750 million General Fund across 2019-20 and 2020-21.

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May Revision Control Section Proposals

May 22, 2020 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 6 on Budget Process Oversight and Program Evaluation Hon. Philip Y. Ting, Chair

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Overview of Major Public Safety Proposals in the 2020-21 May Revision

May 21, 2020 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 5 on Public Safety

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Overview of Governor’s May Revision Proposals for Resources and Transportation Programs

May 21, 2020 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 3 On Resources and Transportation Hon. Richard Bloom, Chair

5/24/20: Updated proposed appropriations from Proposition 68 (2018).

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Overview of 2020-21 May Revision State Administration Proposals

May 21, 2020 - Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 4 on State Administration

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The 2020-21 Budget: Immigrant Legal Services at the Public Higher Education Segments

May 21, 2020 - In this post, we (1) provide background on immigrant residents in California and state funding for immigrant legal services, including for students at the California Community Colleges, California State University, and University of California; (2) provide an implementation update on each segment’s immigrant legal services program; (3) describe the Governor’s January and May proposals to provide additional funding for immigrant legal services at the segments; and (4) provide an associated budget alternative for the Legislature to consider within the context of the state’s budget downturn.