New Inflation Poses Not So New Budget Risk

Dec 15, 2022 - This means that a portion of any inflation created by the tax rebate program will be exported to the rest of the U.S. Once dissipated across the nearly $26  trillion U.S. economy, California ’s $9.5  billion in tax refunds represent, at most, a trivial contribution to broader inflationary pressures.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4653

Strong Tax Collections Belie California's Challenging Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details]

Apr 26, 2022 - Strong Tax Collections Belie California's Challenging Fiscal Outlook [Publication Details] Strong Tax Collections Belie California's Challenging Fiscal Outlook Format: HTML Description: Given the persistent strength in state tax collections, it may come as a surprise that California’s General Fund likely faces a budget problem in the coming years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4590

The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit [Publication Details]

Aug 30, 2021 - This post describes the legislative and administrative decisions regarding the State Appropriations Limit (SAL) in the 2021‑22 budget process.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4449

The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit

Aug 30, 2021 - The Legislature can use excess revenues in three ways: (1)  appropriate more money for purposes excluded from the state appropriations limit (SAL), (2)  split the excess between additional school and community college district spending and taxpayer rebates, or (3)  lower tax revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4449

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2023 - The Governor ’s budget includes nearly $3  billion in reductions, the largest of which is withdrawing a discretionary principal payment on state ’s unemployment insurance loan (which otherwise is paid by employers ’ payroll taxes).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4662

Strong Tax Collections Belie California's Challenging Fiscal Outlook

Apr 26, 2022 - Strong Tax Collections Belie California's Challenging Fiscal Outlook Strong Tax Collections Belie California 's Challenging Fiscal Outlook April 26, 2022 Tweet Gabriel PetekLegislative Analyst Given the persistent strength in state tax collections, it may come as a surprise that California ’s General Fund likely faces a budget problem in the coming years.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4590

The 2022-23 Budget: Initial Comments on the State Appropriations Limit Proposal

Feb 4, 2022 - This alternative can include one, or any combination, of  the following: Lower Tax Revenues. In order to reduce tax revenues for tax year 2021, the Legislature most likely would need to act very soon, but the state also could lower revenues for 2022 in the coming months.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4515

The 2022-23 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor's May Revision

May 16, 2022 - Specifically, SAL requirements can only be met with: Tax Reductions or Tax Refunds. The first way the Legislature can allocate revenues in order to comply with the SAL is to reduce proceeds of taxes, for example, by reducing tax rates, increasing tax credits, or returning funds to taxpayers through tax refunds.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4598

The 2022-23 Budget: State Appropriations Limit Implications

Mar 30, 2022 - Reduce Taxes on an Ongoing Basis. The first long ‑term alternative for the Legislature is to reduce taxes so that they no longer are growing faster than the limit. Under this alternative, tax revenues and associated spending could still grow, but they could not grow faster than the limit itself.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4583

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - When combined with slightly smaller increases in the local property tax portion of Proposition  98, overall growth in school and community college funding would average around 4.6  percent annually. Operating Deficits Average $18   Billion Annually Under LAO Estimates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772