August 2021 State Tax Collections [EconTax Blog]

Sep 20, 2021 - August 2021 State Tax Collections [EconTax Blog] Seth Kerstein Through the first two months of the 2021-22 fiscal year, collections from the state ’s three largest taxes —personal income, corporation, and sales taxes —are running 20 percent ($3.6 billion) ahead of budget projections.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/699

2021-22 “Big Three” Revenue Outlook Update: September 2021 [EconTax Blog]

Sep 20, 2021 - We currently project that there is a strong chance that collections from the state ’s “big three ” taxes —personal income, sales, and corporation taxes —will exceed the budget act assumption of $170 billion in 2021-22.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/698

What Do Unanticipated Revenues Mean for the Surplus? [EconTax Blog]

Sep 20, 2021 - The formulas vary substantially based on the amount of personal income tax revenues attributable to capital gains that the state collects. These revenues can vary substantially from year to year, making it difficult to predict the impact on the formulas.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/697

A New Method For Current Year Revenue Forecasting [EconTax Blog]

Sep 20, 2021 - To fill this void, our office recently developed a model to provide a monthly update of the forecast of current year collections from the state ’s “big three ” revenues (personal income, sales, and corporation taxes).
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/696

U.S. Retail Sales Update: August 2021 [EconTax Blog]

Sep 17, 2021 - U.S. retail sales (seasonally adjusted) grew 0.7 percent from July to August. Retail sales remain elevated due to dramatic growth in January and March.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/694

Income Tax Withholding Tracker: August 1 - August 27 [EconTax Blog]

Sep 7, 2021 - Income Tax Withholding Tracker: August 1 - August 27 [EconTax Blog] Income Tax Withholding Tracker: August 1 - August 27 September 7, 2021 Brian Uhler Bottom Line: California income tax withholding collections in August through the 27th were 19.7 percent above August 2020, and collections to date in fiscal year 2021-22 were 20.2 percent above 2020-21.
https://lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/692

Psilocybin legalization. [Ballot]

Sep 1, 2021 - The amount of sales tax revenue collected would depend on the portion of sales that are not for medical, therapeutic, religious, or spiritual purposes, which would be exempt from sales tax under the measure.
https://lao.ca.gov/BallotAnalysis/Initiative/2021-005

K-12 Funding by Source [EdBudget]

Aug 31, 2021 - This reduction is more than offset by (1) approximately $1.4 billion in one-time funding for various infrastructure improvements and (2) baseline increases in state pension costs and debt service on school facility bonds. c Includes revenue from property taxes collected in excess of the Local Control Funding Formula allotments, parcel taxes, fees, and local
https://lao.ca.gov/Education/EdBudget/Details/545

The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit [Publication Details]

Aug 30, 2021 - This post describes the legislative and administrative decisions regarding the State Appropriations Limit (SAL) in the 2021‑22 budget process.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/4449

The 2021-22 California Spending Plan: The State Appropriations Limit

Aug 30, 2021 - The Legislature can use excess revenues in three ways: (1)  appropriate more money for purposes excluded from the state appropriations limit (SAL), (2)  split the excess between additional school and community college district spending and taxpayer rebates, or (3)  lower tax revenues.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4449