The Property Tax Inheritance Exclusion

Oct 9, 2017 - Figure  3 reports our estimates of these fiscal effects by county. Greater Losses Likely in Future. It is likely the fiscal effect of this exclusion will grow in future years as California ’s homeowners continue to age and the use of the inheritance exclusion increases.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3706

Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - These required deposits were to gradually increase from 1  p ercent of General Fund revenues in 2006 ‑ 07 t o 3  p ercent in 2008 ‑09 and every year thereafter. Proposition  58 allowed these deposits to be suspended by an executive order issued by the Governor.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - Figure  2, at the end of this post, lists the major economic variables under our new moderate growth scenario through 2022. As we discussed in November, accurately predicting the future path of the economy is not possible.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2024-25 Budget: Governor's Office of Business and Economic Development

Feb 20, 2024 - We estimate the Governor ’s budget predicts the state ’s 2024-25 budget will need to address a $58 billion deficit . In December, our office predicted a somewhat large deficit of $68 billion . Since then, recent data has continued to point to the budget problem being larger than the Governor’s budget assumes.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4846

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video]

The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability - The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability [Video] Search LAO Videos The 2022-23 Budget: California 's Fiscal Outlook Press Availability November 17, 2021 Legislative Analyst Gabriel Petek hosts a video call with members of the press after the release of the LAO 's report The 2022-23 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=116

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - As shown in Figure  3, although California ’s nominal minimum wage has doubled over the last decade, the hourly wage gap between low-wage (10 th percentile) workers and average (median) workers has barely changed over that period.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/3

The 2026-27 Budget: State Mandate—Disclosure Requirements and Deferral of Property Taxation

Feb 19, 2026 - In particular, state law directs our office to report on the annual state costs for new mandates and make recommendations to the Legislature as to whether the new mandates should be (1)  repealed (permanently eliminating it or making it optional), (2)  suspended (rendering it inoperative for one year), (3)  modified, or (4)  funded.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5130

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Tax Rates

Feb 11, 2022 - The California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) plans such projects well in advance, so changes in 2022 ‑23 revenue likely would affect funding for projects around 2024 ‑25. Due to the State Highway Account ’s estimated beginning balance of $3  billion in 2022 ‑23, the revenue loss would not affect projects planned for 2022 ‑23 or 2023 ‑24.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4528

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions 90 $6,314.1 For a variety of reasons, we do not reflect certain capital outlay projects in the figure or linked table. Specifically, to avoid double counting previously provided funds or because specific data are not available, we do not include projects for which funding is: (1)  continuously appropriated, such as some bond
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - We apply this method to monthly CPS data from January 2022 through December 2023 to construct the estimates that appear in Figures 3 through 7 in the post Is California’s Minimum Wage High, Low, or Somewhere in Between?
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4