California’s Strong Revenue Trends Mask Looming Budget Risk

Jan 23, 2026 - The added risk variable weighs on the range of revenue outcomes that we view as most plausible. The middle of the range, which becomes our main revenue forecast, is thus lower than if we did not include the stock market risk indicator.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5104

The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal - The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video The 2016-17 Budget: The Governor’s Proposition 2 Debt Proposal February 24, 2016 Watch it on YouTube .
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=101

The 2016-17 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook - California's Fiscal Outlook [Video]

View  this video on   YouTube . Video Selection California 's Fiscal Outlook Subscribe | California State Legislature | Online Voter Registration | Privacy Policy | Accessibility Legislative Analyst's Office | The California Legislature's Nonpartisan Fiscal and Policy Advisor 925 L Street, Suite 1000 Sacramento, CA 95814 | (916) 445-4656
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=95

The 2025-26 Budget: Overview of the Spending Plan

Oct 16, 2025 - During the special session, the Legislature added Control Sections 90.00 and 90.01 to the 2024 ‑25 Budget Act providing up to $2.5  billion one ‑time for response and recovery costs related to the January 2025 Southern California wildfires.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5079

The 2026-27 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 19, 2025 - The stock market (S &P 500) has risen 50  percent in the last two years. Most of these gains come from the meteoric rise in the value of a handful of tech companies that investors believe will be major beneficiaries of recent advances in AI.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5091

The 2025-26 Budget: California's Fiscal Outlook

Nov 20, 2024 - Outside of government and health care, the state has added no jobs in a year and a half. Similarly, the number of Californians who are unemployed is 25  percent higher than during the strong labor markets of 2019 and 2022.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4939

The 2018-19 Budget: California Spending Plan (Final Version)

Oct 2, 2018 - In constructing the budget, the Legislature was faced with decisions over how to allocate $ 10  b illion in discretionary General Fund resources. ( “Discretionary ” in this context excludes billions of dollars controlled by constitutional funding requirements, such as Proposition  98 [1988] and Proposition  2 [2014], and added costs to maintain existing policies and programs.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3870

COVID-19 and California’s Evolving Fiscal Outlook

Mar 18, 2020 - This estimate assumed that the average price level for the S &P  500 stock index would remain relatively flat from late 2019 through the first half of 2020, with gradual price appreciation thereafter.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4203

The 2016-17 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 15, 2016 - (“Discretionary,” in this context, excludes billions of dollars controlled by constitutional funding requirements, such as Proposition 98 and Proposition 2, and added costs to maintain existing policies.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3460

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - Note: Excludes spending on  K ‑14  education, reserves, and debt (required by the California Constitution), and added costs to maintain existing policies. Figure also excludes some smaller spending proposals.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916