Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure - Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure September 28, 2017
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=110

Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure - Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure September 28, 2017
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=110&videoId=172

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - CDTFA ’s estimated cost to implement AB  3218 and SB  1230 is $3.3  million in 2024-25, $5.5  million per year in 2025-26 and 2026-27, and $3.1  million in 2027-28 and ongoing. The new laws create penalties that could raise revenue to offset some of these costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - Beginning July 2024, Chapter  231 of 2023 (AB  28, Gabriel) imposed a new excise tax on firearm dealers, firearm manufacturers, and ammunition vendors. Specifically, an 11  percent tax is applied to the gross retail sales of firearms, firearm precursor parts, and ammunition.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

California's Fiscal Outlook: LAO Projections 2008-09 Through 2013-14 [Publication Details]

Nov 20, 2008 - Closing a projected $28 billion budget shortfall will be a monumental task. We believe the Legislature must take major ongoing actions by both reducing base spending and increasing revenues. If the Legislature has any hope of developing a fiscally responsible 2009–10 budget, it must begin laying the groundwork now.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/1895

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - In 2020, 10  percent of buses entering service for large transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 28  percent. In 2020, 11  percent of buses entering service for small transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 38  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - During the phase ‑in period, the state also entered the dot ‑com recession. These two cost pressures absorbed the remaining flexibility in the state ’s UI tax system. As  shown in Figure  4 , the state began this period in Schedule C but quickly moved to Schedule F+, the highest tax schedule, where it has remained since.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943