Fiscal Outlook: Developmental Services

Nov 15, 2017 - Fiscal Outlook: Developmental Services California's Fiscal Outlook Fiscal Outlook: Developmental Services The Department of Developmental Services (DDS) provides services and supports to individuals with developmental disabilities in California.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3717

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2023 - Comparison to LAO November Outlook. In  our Fiscal Outlook released in November 2022, we anticipated the state would face a $24 billion budget problem, somewhat higher than the $18 billion budget problem we estimate the Governor addressed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4662

The 2020-21 May Revision: CalWORKs Caseload-Driven Costs in the 2020-21 May Revision

Jun 2, 2020 - For our Spring Fiscal Outlook —which we released just prior to the release of the May Revision—our model projected CalWORKs caseload would average about 375,000 in 2019‑20 (up from the 363,000 cases the administration estimated in January) and about 420,000 in 2020‑21 (up from the 358,000 the administration estimated in January).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4249

The 2020-21 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2020 - The administration ’s revenue assumptions are very close to our November 2019 Fiscal Outlook revenue estimates in the near term. Across 2018‑19 to 2020‑21, the administration’s estimates of revenue from the state’s three largest taxes are $34 million (less than 0.01 percent of total collections) above our Fiscal Outlook estimates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4135

The 2021-22 Budget: CalWORKs Fiscal Outlook

Dec 8, 2020 - The 2021-22 Budget: CalWORKs Fiscal Outlook The 2021-22 Budget CalWORKs Fiscal Outlook In this post, we describe our most recent forecast for California Work Opportunity and Responsibility to Kids (CalWORKs) program costs and discuss recent caseload trends.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4306

The 2021-22 Budget: Analysis of the Governor’s CalWORKs Proposals

Feb 3, 2021 - In our recent CalWORKs Fiscal Outlook post, we discuss three potential reasons for low levels of CalWORKs applications in recent data: (1) job losses have not yet affected workers with children as severely as past recessions, (2) the extraordinary level of federal and state relief offered to individuals (in particular, enhanced unemployment insurance) temporarily has reduced
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4341

The 2022-23 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2022 - Consistent with our Fiscal Outlook forecast, the Governor ’s budget reflects a dramatic upward adjustment to revenues. Despite this, the administration ’s revenue estimates remain meaningfully below our Fiscal Outlook for 2021 ‑22.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4492

Estimating the CalWORKs Take-Up Rate

Feb 2, 2021 - As discussed in our recent Outlook post , both the administration and our office overestimated the extent to which caseload would grow following the pandemic and subsequent economic recession. These overestimates were built on observations from previous recessions (for example, the relationship between the unemployment rate and CalWORKs cases added), but such relationships do not always hold in new economic climates.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4340

The 2021-22 Budget: Initial Comments on the Governor’s May Revision

May 17, 2021 - For additional discussion on revenues, see our related post The 2021‑22 Budget: May Revenue Outlook . Constitutionally Required Spending Higher by $16  Billion. The constitution requires the state to spend minimum annual amounts on schools and community colleges (under Proposition  98) and budget reserves and debt payments (under Proposition  2).
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4432

The 2021-22 Spending Plan: Human Services

Nov 22, 2021 - During the first year of FFPSA implementation, a county may elect to begin providing prevention services by providing written notice to DSS prior to fully completing its com prehensive prevention plan.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4476/3