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Economy and Taxes (60)
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Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

Fixing Unemployment Insurance

Dec 2, 2024 - Figure  12 shows how the state ’s current taxable wage base and our recommendation compare to other states. If the state raised the maximum weekly benefit amount, the corresponding taxable wage base would also need to increase.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4943

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - This is a decrease of $10  million  (6  percent) from the revised 2024-25 level. (This does not reflect some adjustments related to Control Sections 4.05 and 4.12 of the 2024-25 and 2025-26 budgets. Please see the “New and Ongoing Efforts to Achieve Efficiencies” section of our post for more information.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - These funds would be allocated to school districts based on their share of statewide enrollment in grades 7 to 12. The budget package also required school districts to certify by July 2029 that a certain portion of their staff who work directly with students in grades 7 to 12 have received youth behavioral health training at least once.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970

The 2023-24 Budget: Multiyear Budget Outlook

May 23, 2023 - Under our outlook, Proposition  98 General Fund spending on schools and community colleges is $89  billion in 2026 ‑ 27 —nearly $12  billion above our projected 2023 ‑24 level and $5  billion higher than the administration ’s projection for 2026 ‑27.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4772

The 2017-18 Budget: Governor's Gann Limit Proposal

Mar 2, 2017 - As revenues surged during the dot ‑com boom of the late 1990s, however, the state approached the limit. The state had excess revenues in 1999 ‑00, but because appropriations were under the limit in 2000 ‑01, additional Proposition  98 spending and taxpayer rebates were not required.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3596

California’s Fiscal Outlook: The 2011-12 Budget [Publication Details]

Nov 10, 2010 - The budget problem consists of a $6 billion projected deficit for 2010‑11 and a $19 billion gap between projected revenues and spending in 2011‑12. Similar to our forecast of one year ago, we project annual budget problems of about $20 billion each year through 2015‑16.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/2365

Statewide Minimum Wage Increasing in January

Dec 6, 2016 - Statewide Minimum Wage Increasing in January December 6, 2016 Statewide Minimum Wage Increasing in January Statewide Minimum Wage Will Increase On January 1 st . The first minimum wage increase under California’s new law will occur on January 1, 2017.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3512