Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - By most measures, the recession of the early 1990s was more severe than the dot ‑com bust in the early 2000s. For example, unemployment in California reached 9. 7  p ercent in mid ‑ to late ‑1992, but peaked at 6. 9  p ercent after the dot ‑com bust.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

The 2022-23 Budget: Fuel Price and Other Fiscal Relief Options

May 12, 2022 - Providing tax refunds to vehicle owners would be less directly linked to fuel consumption, but would provide some related relief given that these individuals likely drive to some degree. Providing rebates to zero ‑emission vehicle owners (as included in the Governor ’s proposal), however, would not have any link to gas price  burden.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4597

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - In the case of the Cannabis Tax Program, we note: The administration has not presented any arguments linking the General Fund ’s share of costs to its share of indirect benefits. This is not part of a broad, systematic effort to allocate costs based on indirect benefits.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Tax Credit Expansions in the American Rescue Plan

Apr 13, 2021 - We also discuss changes to the dependent care exclusion which is linked to the child care credit. These changes are for tax year 2021 only except where otherwise noted. (We refer to the prior provisions of these tax credits as “prior law. ” Because the new provisions are scheduled to only be in effect in 2021 in most cases, we anticipate the provisions to revert to prior law starting in 2022.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4410

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Linking this definition to the one laid out above, most —but not necessarily the vast majority —of the workers in each low-wage occupation are low-wage workers. Largest: Home Health and Personal Care Aides.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/1

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions 90 $6,314.1 For a variety of reasons, we do not reflect certain capital outlay projects in the figure or linked table. Specifically, to avoid double counting previously provided funds or because specific data are not available, we do not include projects for which funding is: (1)  continuously appropriated, such as some bond
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2019-20 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 14, 2019 - The Legislature, however, might consider more targeted initiatives linked with specific goals. For example, it could link any one ‑time workforce funding to helping with a transition to a new child care reimbursement rate system and/or higher minimum program standards.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3916

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

California’s Low-Wage Workers and Minimum Wage

Mar 11, 2024 - Bollinger et al. (2019) study response patterns to earnings questions in the CPS ’s Annual Social and Economic Supplement by linking the survey data to administrative data. They find that methods based on the assumption that earnings responses are conditionally missing at random —such as the conventional weighting approach described above —produce particularly inaccurate
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4878/4