Building Reserves to Prepare for a Recession

Mar 7, 2018 - Under Proposition  2, the state must put money into the BSA until its total reaches a maximum amount of 10  p ercent of General Fund tax revenue. Currently, this is about $13. 5  b illion. Once the BSA reaches this maximum, funds that would bring the BSA above 10  p ercent of General Fund taxes must be spent on infrastructure.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3769

The 2026-27 Budget: CDTFA’s Cannabis and Tobacco Programs

Feb 23, 2026 - If this could lead to budget adjustments, the Legislature may wish to schedule some of the proposed funding to expire after 2027 ‑28. Direct CDTFA to Stop Spending General Fund on Cannabis Tax Program Immediately.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5132

Managing California’s Cash

Sep 3, 2019 - After a period of relative calm in the mid ‑ and late ‑1990s, California faced another series of years with acute budget problems following the dot ‑com bust and ensuing recession. Although the dot ‑com bust was relatively mild in economic terms, it hit the California budget —which is particularly reliant on the Bay Area ’s technology sector —especially hard.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4092

The 2025-26 California Spending Plan: Other Provisions

Oct 16, 2025 - These fee increases, which are estimated to generate about $50  million in new revenue through 2027-28, are designed to help DFPI address a significant structural deficit in the Financial Protection Fund.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5081/

The 2018-19 May Revision: LAO Economic Outlook

May 12, 2018 - The typical PE ratio since 1990 is 21 (19 if the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s is excluded). Similar to the price-to-earnings ratio, the home price-to-rent ratio is used to gauge if home prices are in line with underlying demand for housing.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3829

Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure - Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure [Video]

To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video Volatility of California’s Personal Income Tax Structure September 28, 2017
https://lao.ca.gov/Videos/Player?playlistId=110&videoId=172

Updating the California Necessities Index

Aug 14, 2025 - Figure 1 Average Historical Differences Between Proposed Measures and Current CNI Measure Average Historical Difference (Absolute Value) Percent of Years Higher Option A: Remove discontinued category 0.20 Option B: Reassign expenditure weights 0.24 Option C: Use national estimate 0.19 Option D: CA CPI ‑U 0.99 Option D: CA CPI ‑W 1.12 28 CNI = California Necessities Index; CA CPI
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5065

The 2025-26 Budget: CDTFA’s Tobacco Programs

Feb 14, 2025 - CDTFA ’s estimated cost to implement AB  3218 and SB  1230 is $3.3  million in 2024-25, $5.5  million per year in 2025-26 and 2026-27, and $3.1  million in 2027-28 and ongoing. The new laws create penalties that could raise revenue to offset some of these costs.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4966

Evaluation of a Tax Exemption for Zero-Emission Buses

Apr 15, 2024 - In 2020, 10  percent of buses entering service for large transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 28  percent. In 2020, 11  percent of buses entering service for small transit agencies were ZEBs; by 2022, that share had grown to 38  percent.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4890

The 2025-26 Budget: Update on Implementation of New Firearm and Ammunition Tax

Feb 19, 2025 - Beginning July 2024, Chapter  231 of 2023 (AB  28, Gabriel) imposed a new excise tax on firearm dealers, firearm manufacturers, and ammunition vendors. Specifically, an 11  percent tax is applied to the gross retail sales of firearms, firearm precursor parts, and ammunition.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4970