The 2026-27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges [Publication Details]

Nov 19, 2025 - The 2026-27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges [Publication Details] The 2026-27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges Format: HTML Description: We forecast that increases to the Proposition 98 guarantee in 2024-25 and 2025-26, coupled with a preexisting payment obligation, require the state to provide nearly $7.4 billion in one-time funds for schools and community colleges.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Detail/5093

The 2022-23 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 17, 2021 - For 2021 ‑22, our outlook assumes average daily attendance will be down about 170,000 students (3 percent) relative to the pre ‑pandemic level of 5,897,000. Over the following four years, our outlook accounts for three trends affecting attendance.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4473

The 2026-27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 19, 2025 - Although our outlook treats the cost of enrollment changes as a baseline adjustment, the Legislature has discretion over how much growth to fund each year. June Budget Covered Ongoing Program Costs With One ‑Time Funds.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5093

The 2023-24 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 16, 2022 - The Education Budget in Context Tighter Outlook Follows Two Years of Extraordinary Growth. Although our outlook estimates a drop in the guarantee in 2022 ‑23 and slow growth in 2023 ‑24, these changes build upon two previous years of historic growth.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4648

The 2025‑26 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges

Nov 20, 2024 - Finally, we compare the funding available under the guarantee with the cost of existing education programs and identify some issues for the Legislature to consider in the coming year. ( The2025‑26 Budget: California’s Fiscal Outlook contains our outlook for the overall state budget.)
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4940

The 2026-27 Budget: Proposition 98 Guarantee and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 4, 2026 - Another option is to provide advance payments to districts toward their 2027 ‑28 funding allotments, consistent with an approach we outlined in our November 2025 report, The 2026‑27 Budget: Fiscal Outlook for Schools and Community Colleges .
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5110

The 2023-24 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2023 - Comparison to LAO November Outlook. In  our Fiscal Outlook released in November 2022, we anticipated the state would face a $24 billion budget problem, somewhat higher than the $18 billion budget problem we estimate the Governor addressed.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4662

Assessing a Shift to Enrollment-Based School Funding

Jan 6, 2026 - Our  November 2025 fiscal outlook, however, projects Test 1 will likely remain operative through the end of our forecast in 2029 ‑30. This projection is mainly related to declines in births and reductions in the school ‑age population —trends that are unlikely to reverse  quickly or change in response to enrollment ‑based funding.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/5100

The 2022-23 Budget: Overview of the Governor's Budget

Jan 13, 2022 - Consistent with our Fiscal Outlook forecast, the Governor ’s budget reflects a dramatic upward adjustment to revenues. Despite this, the administration ’s revenue estimates remain meaningfully below our Fiscal Outlook for 2021 ‑22.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4492

The 2023-24 Budget: Proposition 98 Overview and K-12 Spending Plan

Feb 7, 2023 - This budgeting approach seems especially important this year given our outlook for lower General Fund revenues and the heightened risk of a recession. Saving reserves preserves a key tool the state could decide to use later to avoid program reducti ons or deferrals in a recession scenario.
https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/4670